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Mehdi Hasan

Mehdi Hasan’s polemical take on politics, economics and foreign affairs

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Is Blair the best man to give advice to Labour in 2011?

Tony's back in town . . .

Tony Blair is back in Britain to promote the paperback edition of his 2010 memoir, A Journey. The permatanned ex-premier has been doing the rounds of the television and radio studios, offering his views on the Arab Spring as well as the Archbishop of Canterbury's guest-edit of the New Statesman.

He also offered this piece of advice to Ed Miliband, the current Labour leader. From the Times (£):

What he will say is that a progressive party will never win unless it shows that is "in favour of the business community, in favour of entrepreneurs, of enterprise".

Wise words, I guess, from a man who is making millions from his various corporate gigs. But why should Miliband or any other Labour politician heed his advice? The media, and the Cameroons, are still in awe of the former premier. But here are three points worth briefly considering before taking any political advice from Tony Blair in 2011:

1) On Blair's watch, Labour lost four million votes between 1997 and 2005. Lest we forget, in the 2005 general election, Blair was re-elected with a vote share of 35 per cent -- that's less than the majority-less Cameron achieved in 2010. Blair won in 2005 because his opponent was Michael Howard.

2) When Blair left office in the summer of 2007, his personal poll ratings were falling -- and so, too, were the Labour Party's. As the authors of the new book, Explaining Cameron's Coalition, argue, "Blair's ratings were falling from 1997 and that, even if Labour had not changed leader, it is likely that Blair's would have been as low as Brown's were by 2010."

3) Blair invaded Iraq. Regardless of whether you think it was right or wrong to topple Saddam Hussein, politically, the war was a massive misjudgement on Blair's part. It split his party and the country, cost him his political capital, wrecked his reputation and undermined any legacy he might have hoped to leave behind as a three-time election winner. As the former Lib Dem leader Menzies Campbell once put it, "Mary Tudor had Calais engraved on her heart. Blair will have Iraq engraved on his heart and there is no escaping it."

Tags: Ed Miliband  Labour  Tony Blair  Iraq

66 comments

Eddy S's picture

blair, you are a class act that no one can touch.

he was a man of all people. only he could address the french parliament in french and have a laugh with the man on the street. when he came to power, he really could walk on water.

child support worker's picture

Just when I was toying with the idea of voting Labour once again that turd emerges from whatever lucrative punchbowl he has been hiding in to remind how bad the last gov’t was.

thinkov's picture

PFI civil liberties no re ownership of public utilities
no return of sympathetc trade union legislation
vicious public sectro reforms
friendship with markets
War criminality
turning rightward of lib dems

thinkov's picture

the british centre left hate blqair as Blair is a fucking tory

Hal Berstram's picture

Great article, Mehdi. Tony Blair started out as a small 'c' conservative, now he's a Big C Conservative. (A bit like your New Statesman blogger colleague Dan Hodges). And his advice is utterly worthless. It makes me laugh that the morons in the Coalietion take Blair's advice seriously.

I think the only reason Blair won in 1997 and 2001 was he was up against totally lame Tory leaders (I know Kinnock lost to Major in 1992 but that was before enough people had rumbled just how awful Major was). Any Labour leader would have won in 1997/2001. In 2005 it would have been a hung parliament if we'd had a sane electoral system. Blair is a liability - Ed Miliband, pls stay away from this fool.

Bill's picture

What planet do you and the Labour party live on? You allow the leadership to be dominated by acolytes of the most unpopular prime minister in living memory while turning your back on and disparaging the most electorally successful. Blair won in 2005 not because of Michael Howard but because he continued to occupy the centre ground that forced the Tory leader, who happened to be Michael Howard, to fight a campaign based around unpleasantness. Your position on this is as delusional as it is when you claim that there is some sort of progressive (whatever that means) in the UK because more than half of the people didn't vote Conservative. Utter fantasy, and the sort of thinking that will condemn Labour to decades in opposition.

Briar's picture

Bliar thinks he is and so do his die-hard supporters in the Party and in the media. Hence the leak of the annointed successor's "victory" speech to the ever-obliging Guardian and the renewed assault on Brown and Balls in the Torygraph. Bliar will stop at nothing to whip the Party back in line again. If he gets his way, we will have a one party, three faces, state. All will be pro business, pro the USA, anti union and anti anyone who is not "economically productive". The business elite will love it. The rest of us - not so much.

Trajan's picture

'Why is it that those on the right revere their three-times election-winner (ignoring her faults and remembering her successes); whilst those on the left hate theirs, forgetting his achievements?'

What would those achievements be? Economic growth? That all ended in tears. Gay rights? It took him ten years to phase in civil partnerships and any laws banning discrimination against gays in the workplace... the Tory party may aswell have done this for all that was worth. Child poverty? That didn't work. Workers' rights? He did sweet FA to reverse the numerous Employment Acts brought in under Thatcher and Major. The Human Rights Act is a poor substitute for union representation. Economic equality? He made society less equal. Crime? Crime, especially violent crime shot up, whatever spin and lies Labour would have you believe. Education education education? Social mobility has plummeted, the literacy rate has declined.

Call Blair's victory whatever you like. You are entitled to admire him for it. But he did more to destroy the hopes and dreams of the left than Thatcher ever did.

Gracie's picture

Who knows? But one thing I do know is that Mehdi Hasan is in no position to be giving the Labour party advice.

antigone2's picture

*Blair is a disgrace to Labour, and his insane rantings of a rightwing catholic is best ignored by the Labour Movement.

Reginald-Fah-fah's picture

Hi Mehdi, it has been while!!! Great to see the article by Victoria Coren!!!!

In my opinion, Tony Blair should be bought to the Hague and put on trial for war crimes. I hope in my lifetime I see Blair bought to justice!!!

mossadshil's picture

WAR CRIMINAL-all pre-planned well in advance. Iraqi freedom, they didn't give a damn about the people. Self interest and the interest of another certain country in the vicinity. How many dead soldiers and civilians???? Continued privatisation where the tories left off. In fact there is no difference between the main parties.Democracy!!! What democracy is it that we are so proud off and show off and throw in the faces of other countries. At the end of the day , politicians only listen to big business, banks, and lobby groups.NOT US.

Alexander's picture

Good heavens no - the Labour party needs to distance themselves from blair, who is about as popular as a skid mark with the British public.

Dan's picture

jon you clearly need to apply to be a Labour Party spin doctor .You present a meaningless list on dubious achievements of the previous Labour government . You present an argument that Tony Blair or Gordon Brown would be proud of .I don't dispute Tony Blair is a gifted communicator and can connect with parts of the electorate that know other former Labour Prime minister could do.However the alliance with Bush was not in the interests of Britain ; misleading parliament on behalf of a foreign power to send young boys and girls to die without any national security at stake ; undermining the United Nations and International community by illegally invading a sovereign state ; the tragic post war Iraq reconstruction which was in the hands of market fundamentalists and Neo conservative fanatics . Britain was a poodle for Bush and his extreme unilateralists agenda for which Britain alienated its allies in the European Union and emerging powers such as China and Russia .The credit crunch and banking collapse of 2008 were a reflection of a failed neo liberal economic model which has put buying a home out of the hands of hard working people . A graduate population that is saddled with debt ,but not the lucrative career opportunity that a degree offered in the 1970's/80's . social mobility has stagnated and old school ties and private education buys access to the lucrative professions . Huge social inequality which put power ,wealth and opportunity into the hands of the few and not the many .Blairs economic and social model has reduced labour's share of the vote to the level of the Labour party of 1983 .He is know longer an electoral asset for Labour and those who subscribe to his world view are as outdated as the those who cling to the Old style Labourism of industrial Britain .

Alan's picture

"But why should Miliband or any other Labour politician heed his advice?"

Because he is the only person currently alive who has ever lead the Labour party to an election victory.

And he did it three times.

Why is it that those on the right revere their three-times election-winner (ignoring her faults and remembering her successes); whilst those on the left hate theirs, forgetting his achievements?

Jon's picture

1. The introduction of the National Minimum Wage;
2. The Northern Ireland Peace Process concluded;
3. Scottish and Welsh devolution;
4. Longest period of sustained low inflation since the 1960s
5. 14000 more police in England and Wales
6. Record improvements in literacy and numeracy
7. The best education results at 14, 16 and 18 ever.
8. A doubling of per capita funding in state education.
9. Write off of 100% of the debt of the poorest countries
10. 85000 more nurses.
11. 32000 more doctors.
12. City wide government restored to London.
13. 274000 more support staff in schools.
14. Introduction of child tax credits
15. The scrapping of Section 28 and introduction of Civil Partnerships
16. Ban on fox hunting
17. Free TV licences for over 75s
18. Free breast cancer screening for women aged 50-70
19. Free eye test for over 60s.
20. Overseas aid budget doubled.
21. Free nursery places for every 3 and 4 year old.

Oh, yes. And ...

22. 3 consecutive General Election victories.

I wonder what some people expect a Labour Prime Minister to have done. Walking on water and raising the dead wouldn't be enough for some people.

Michael Choo's picture

Jon,
You forgot one
23 The Iraq War

That was a winner eh

lusina's picture

Blair got it right for ten years. Iraq was a huge mistake and dented his popularity for ever. He would have led Labour to a greater disaster at the polling stations if he had stayed as leader in 2010. Brown did not save labour. No leader would have been able to do that in 2010 - it's time was simply over and it had to re-examine itself and its conscience. A time in opposition was needed. However, it would be foolish to discard advice from Blair. His political antenna was always primed and tactically he was (and probably still is) unbeatable. Labour should get over its present inferiority complex by re-asserting itself, but not at the expense of turning its back completely on Blair who has given the Party what was unthinkable for generations - three consecutive victories with large majorities. A spin doctor maybe, but still a benchmark to many rising politicians not least of all a guy named David Cameron.

Josh's picture

"Right or wrong to topple Saddam Hussein" - why phrase the question in just the way Blair would have it put? How about "right or wrong to join in a war of aggression that ended 100,000 lives"?

The Law's picture

Whatever happened to the New Statesmen - it used to attract great writers - now we get hacks like Hasan and Olly Grender. A magazine of the 'left' that didn't even recognise the National Union of Journalists? No wonder circulation (25k) is only one eighth of Private Eye and equivalent to 'The Oldie'.

Josh's picture

"I wonder what some people expect a Labour Prime Minister to have done."

How about complying with international law and not joining in an imperial bloodbath run by war profiteers? How can you talk about aid budgets and nursery places? The man is a war criminal.

Luke Spencer's picture

I agree with Jon. you would not get any of them victory's under a Conservative government. And remember conservatives lost more seats in one election then what we did. We lost 90 in 2010 they lost 174 in 1997. Out of the three parties I would Pick Labour. You Can't trust a Tory.

Rod's picture

Gracie, he wasn't. It's an article. And a pointless one at that.
"Ooh, Blair has done this... done that" "Shook hands with him" "Won 3 elections" "Iraq" "1, 3, 2, 4, 5...."
I'm sure Ed Miliband can work out whether some words coming out of someone else's mouth is useful or not.
Why does everything seem so black and white? You know me I call a spade a spade, I don't suffer fools, I don't look a gift horse in the mouth...
Last time someone gave me advice, rather than consider it and decide its value, my brain automatically accepted it as truth. I just didn't know what to do. And I still don't. I'm scared I may never think for myself again.

Ben's picture

Tendentious nonsense.

A progressive loss of support is what tends to happen when you are in office over a long period of time. In 1997 Labour saw by far the biggest swing of the post-war period (10.5%) and the Tories were utterly crushed. Labour had never previously had three election wins on the trot. You say he "lost" 4 million votes over the period. What, rather than doing the unprecedented and delivering 13 years of Labour government, you want him to have done that without dropping support as well?

Get a grip, Mr Hasan. I'll take Blair's advice as a former Labour PM over your carping any day of the week.

Les Abbey's picture

Thanks Jon for the wonderful list of 22 policies of Blair's Labour governments. Of course some of us may feel short-changed that this was all we got from 13 years of Labour running the country. Then again we could add as 23 the "light touch regulation of the City".

Now some of the cynics here may say at least that would be one policy on the list that Blair still agrees with. He has already told us that the ban on fox-hunting was a mistake and I guess that he now considers the "minimum wage" not very entrepreneur friendly.

If the Blairites continue to try and follow Blair's third way shifting to the right they may well find themselves competing with UKIP for little England votes.

Des Demona's picture

I'd still take Blair over Cameron. Would you, Mehdi?

Dave C's picture

Blair lost Labour about three million votes between 2001 and 2005, which were mainly attributable to Iraq.

Brown lost Labour 943,000 votes between 2005 and 2010 despite the biggest global financial crisis since the 1920s.

In some parallel universe, where Blair hadn't rammed his head up Bush's arse, Labour would still be in power.

Jon's picture

Josh - any notion that the Iraq war devoids all of the benefits the last Labour government brought to ordinary working people is a notion followed largely by oppositionist who would complain at the drop of a hat at anyone doing anything with the power they have. If it wasn't Iraq, you'd be complaining about something. You actually don't want a successful Labour government. You just want something to complain about - partly the problem with the Labour Party in the 1980s.

And as for Iraq being a "winner" - Blair won an election 2005 - after the start of the Iraq war, and in the middle of the conflict. He won, with a majority larger than Thatcher's in 1979 and larger than the current government has.

Like Alan says above, some on the Left hate success by anyone. They thrive on Labour losing because it gives them a fight to have.

Jon's picture

Dave C - the Blair/Bush relationship is irrelevant. Blair won an election 2005 with it in place.

The only alternate universe where Labour would've won is one where Blair - or David Miliband, as the British Obama - was in Downing Street when it was called.

Whig's picture

@Jon
Are you Alistair Campbell in disguise ? You really have swallowed the propaganda hook, line and sinker. Item 7 in your list is just a plain wrong. Item 4 - that period started under the Tories.

adam's picture

"What he will say is that a progressive party will never win unless it shows that is 'in favour of the business community, in favour of entrepreneurs, of enterprise."

Tony Blair has been doing plenty of "enterprise" himself to the tune of $40 million into his bad account. Arab despotic rulers pay well, particularly Blair's favorites - The Sheikdoms.

Blair is the smooth, international political entrepreneur, par excellance..

Dave C's picture

Jon,

Needlessly losing up to three million votes is hardly "irrelevant" in an electoral system.

The war in Iraq caused a loss of trust in Blair and Labour that still hasn't been regained.

Suppose Blair hadn't committed troops to the invasion of Iraq, Labour support would have been much higher.

Add, say, two million votes to Labour's 2010 result and Labour would have had 36% of the vote, enough for a working majority.

hugh markey's picture

It's pretty clear that all the policies implemented by Tony Blair's government were compromises.
Otherwise why all the hot air and spin about cuddly
Gordon?
The tension between the personalities paid off.
How come competition which is daily promoted as a creative force by Tory hucksters, sorry politicians, is much decried in this instance. Whatever the magic formula used by the Blair cabinet it worked effectively. At the critical time, far as we can remember, Tory snake oil sales staff and media hacks did not have a good word to say about Tony or Cheri.
A lot of bad ones, yes!
And what's all that guff about cabinet government? Seems to us that it may have been a bit rough and tumble in this case but it got things done.
The l'roi d'or approach of Cameron makes his cabinet minsters look like a pack of idiots: ready-made fall guys and gals should things go awry.
David with all that hand hygiene looks more and more like that Roman governor. Management by omission seems to be his style. Dave is PM, not monarch! We have one already. PM is not an ornamental office - the PM must be pro-active.

adam's picture

Sorry! I meant his "bank account" not "bad account"!

JoeDeMocritus's picture

Blair was the most successful leader in the Labour Pary's history, with a similar record to Maggie Thatcher.

The Tories love Maggie.
Labour hates Blair.

Go figure, as our American cousins say.

Chris's picture

Seriously Mehdi, you're utterly obsessed. Get help.

At least Blair was a winner unlike his loony left predecessors and yes, of course the party lost members. That's what happens when you're in power and have to make unpopular decisions.

swatantra nandanwar's picture

Tony let down Labour by hanging in there too long when he would have done the Party a big favour by going in 2004. He is in no position to give advice to the Party because it has moved on considerably since his time, and is back in the wilderness of the early 90's. We just hope that another inspirational figure like Tony was in his early days, emerges and picks up the Party again and puts it back into power with agreat reforming agenda tinged with commonsensense. The 2 Eds haven't the capacity to do it.
Tony should be fully focussed now on bringing peace to the ME, or on his sequel to 'The Journey' otherwise known as 'The Trip'.

Duck hunter's picture

Blair was grabbed by the nuts by the Americans. He took a leading role in the murderous acts that took the lives of hundreds of thousands, many woman and children. You can make a list as long as you care regarding more doctors ,more nurses and a better education system in the UK ( which I dare say Blare had little to do with personally )To be responsible for the killing on a scale he was is a crime against humanity. Not someone I think any government or political party should be taking advice.

Gracie's picture

The one thing I cannot stand is disloyalty Mehdi and the mischief making of writing unauthorised books. I find that kind of behaviour reprehensible and hard to forgive.

Amsterdammer's picture

Bush is the reason Labour are not in Government any more. The folly of the Iraq war ultimately cost Labour. I agree with Jon's points; Blair was very successful - he brought about many good things - you missed out Sierra Leone and Kosovo too - which were positives. But unfortunately, Blair will forever be linked with Iraq and the negative images that war provokes in most of us. Although I hate Blair for Iraq, the way he's made the PM job presidential, and the fact that people now look for style over substance in a leader; I do appreciate the good he did for this country and would take him back in a flash over 'CallmeDave' and the yellow Tories in this sham Government.

Dave C's picture

JoeDeMocritus,

You forget that the Tories knifed Thatcher in the front the moment she became an electoral liability.

frances smith's picture

i'm scared, why can't blair just be satisfied with being admired by cameron and osborne.

why does he have, also, to try and turn ed miliband into a version of himself too.
a stake through the heart and garlic in the mouth is the only solution.

and then a new economic policy that curbs the excesses of the financial sector rather than rewards them.

and thats not left wing, its just sane!

No's picture

Before Blair, Labour might have stood for something, but in his time, he made it stand for personal aggrandisement, and stripped it of any values that would have stopped it from that core principle. In short, even the Lib Dems have more principle than today's Labour party. Anyone who supports Labour can only do so out of a desire to advance their own position, sans any wider principles of employment, justice, and equity. AS things stand, Labour = opportunistic apparatchiks with no credibility. Anyone with principles will join a much smaller party and argue their corner.

matthew fox's picture

@Jon

Totally agree, Brown and Blair where a force for the progressive movement.

Would we have had a NHS today if Major had won in 1997.

maxinemf's picture

WHo really cares about what TB thinks anymore. He stuts around the international stage and behaves like a man who still thinks he is prime minister. TB you have had your time; now let the true Labour Party get on with the job of putting right the entangled mess you left behind.

LindbergMarley's picture

It is time to end the privilege of legalised forgery that the banks enjoy (aka ‘fractional reserve banking) and return to the state a fundamental power it should never have given away in exchange for an ever-growing national debt. http://www.personalinjurylaws.net/

Stuff's picture

Iraq 2, what was the alternative?

Starsky's picture

To have the gall to even show his face in this country-let alone give advise to another Labour politician. This man has no shame. TV licence's for over 75's V Illegal war and 5 million dispossed and 500,00 killed. ????????

els's picture

Jon what an impressive list.

C Baker's picture

In favour of enterprise? Labour made it their lifes work to make sure monopolies were all powerful. Now we are paying for these companies profits through high food, energy prices and water and council tax rates. A price hike a week. If they want to blame shortages, adopt a green policy- not give the profits out in bonuses.

Small businesses have had to bow down to the monopolies and the banks control everyones lives- the rich and poor and even the government. Thanks Labour.

Blair could teach people how to swagger about casual style with Bush like a cowboy, arm in arm whilst plotting a war. Or how to make millions from speeches. Yes, sounds like Labour to me.

Alistair campbell could come back too. He could be in charge of perma tan.

We will likely see Blair head of europe as its become about as transparent as fifa. Money talks. Goodbye democracy.

Blair head of europe, Sepp Blatter vice president and Strauss Khan euro chancellor. You heard it here first! Sarah Palin could supply the guns and tea. The Mad Hatters Tea Party.

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