Mehdi on Misunderestimating Miliband

My piece in today's Guardian.

I have a comment piece in today's Guardian that takes on the growing army of critics of the Labour leader, Ed Miliband, and also manages to plug my new biography of him (co-authored with James Macintyre).

I quote George W Bush's famous malaproprism ("They misunderestimated me") and point out that:

. . . the commentariat's hysterical predictions can be safely ignored by the Labour leader and his team. Those pundits who believed Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, predicted a landslide victory for David Cameron at the general election and expected a stroll for David Miliband in the Labour leadership race have little credibility when it comes to forecasting.

Indeed, his critics in parliament and the press are wasting their time; Miliband isn't going anywhere any time soon. He has his eye on the prize -- 10 Downing Street. A close family friend says Ed told him that he had dreamed of being prime minister "as a teenager".

Read the full piece here.

And you can read Sunder Katwala's review of our book -- due to be published in this weekend's Observer -- here.

 

Mehdi Hasan is a contributing writer for the New Statesman and the co-author of Ed: The Milibands and the Making of a Labour Leader. He was the New Statesman's senior editor (politics) from 2009-12.

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Benn vs McDonnell: how Brexit has exposed the fight over Labour's party machine

In the wake of Brexit, should Labour MPs listen more closely to voters, or their own party members?

Two Labour MPs on primetime TV. Two prominent politicians ruling themselves out of a Labour leadership contest. But that was as far as the similarity went.

Hilary Benn was speaking hours after he resigned - or was sacked - from the Shadow Cabinet. He described Jeremy Corbyn as a "good and decent man" but not a leader.

Framing his overnight removal as a matter of conscience, Benn told the BBC's Andrew Marr: "I no longer have confidence in him [Corbyn] and I think the right thing to do would be for him to take that decision."

In Benn's view, diehard leftie pin ups do not go down well in the real world, or on the ballot papers of middle England. 

But while Benn may be drawing on a New Labour truism, this in turn rests on the assumption that voters matter more than the party members when it comes to winning elections.

That assumption was contested moments later by Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell.

Dismissive of the personal appeal of Shadow Cabinet ministers - "we can replace them" - McDonnell's message was that Labour under Corbyn had rejuvenated its electoral machine.

Pointing to success in by-elections and the London mayoral election, McDonnell warned would-be rebels: "Who is sovereign in our party? The people who are soverign are the party members. 

"I'm saying respect the party members. And in that way we can hold together and win the next election."

Indeed, nearly a year on from Corbyn's surprise election to the Labour leadership, it is worth remembering he captured nearly 60% of the 400,000 votes cast. Momentum, the grassroots organisation formed in the wake of his success, now has more than 50 branches around the country.

Come the next election, it will be these grassroots members who will knock on doors, hand out leaflets and perhaps even threaten to deselect MPs.

The question for wavering Labour MPs will be whether what they trust more - their own connection with voters, or this potentially unbiddable party machine.