Me, me, me, me, me

Is this this most egomaniacal blog post ever?

I'm often mocked by colleagues in the NS office for the rather egomaniacal and self-centred headlines I deploy on blog posts, eg:

Melanie Phillips, Michael Portillo and me

Obama, Bush, Frodo, Jon Stewart and me

Andy Burnham's dad is upset with me

Me, me, me, eh? Then again, why hide the fact that we columnists/bloggers have oversized egos, often in need of massaging? Why else do we do what we do? To get noticed, to have people read us, discuss our views and opinions, blah, blah, blah.

So, under the wafer-thin and rather transparent pretext of thanking you all for voting for me, let me egomaniacally draw your attention to three online polls/surveys released in the past week.

** This blog was ranked as the tenth-best media blog in the Total Politics Annual Blog Poll.

** And it was ranked as the 22nd-best left-wing blog (in the same poll of more than 2,200 people).

** Meanwhile, Left Foot Forward (which topped the list of left-wing blogs!) has compiled a list of the 50 "most influential left-wingers", based on suggestions from readers, in which I bizarrely appear alongside the likes of Peter Mandelson, Tony Blair and Noam Chomsky. (If you're crazy enough to believe that I merit a spot in the top five (!) than you can vote for me here.)

Self-promotion over. Back to work . . .

Oh, and thanks again! :-)

Mehdi Hasan is a contributing writer for the New Statesman and the co-author of Ed: The Milibands and the Making of a Labour Leader. He was the New Statesman's senior editor (politics) from 2009-12.

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The Brexiteers have lost battles but they are still set to win the war

The prospect of the UK avoiding Brexit, or even a “hard” version, remains doubtful. 

Before the general election, the Brexiteers would boast that everything had gone their way. Parliament had voted to trigger Article 50 by a majority of 372. The Treasury-forecast recession hadn't occurred. And polls showed the public backing Brexit by a comfortable margin

But since the Conservatives' electoral humbling, the Leavers have been forced to retreat on multiple fronts. After promising in May that the dispute over the timetable for the Brexit talks would be "the fight of the summer", David Davis capitulated on the first day.

The UK will be forced to settle matters such as EU citizens' rights, the Irish border and the divorce bill before discussions begin on a future relationship. Having previously insisted that a new trade deal could agreed by 29 March 2019 (Britain's scheduled departure date), the Brexiteers have now conceded that this is, in Liam Fox's words, "optimistic" (translation: deluded). 

That means the transitional arrangement the Leavers once resisted is now regarded as inevitable. After the eradication of the Conservatives' majority, the insistence that "no deal is better than a bad deal" is no longer credible. No deal would mean the immediate return of a hard Northern Irish border (to the consternation of the Tories' partners the DUP) and, in a hung parliament, there are no longer the votes required to pursue a radical deregulatory, free market agenda (for the purpose of undercutting the EU). As importantly for the Conservatives, an apocalyptic exit could pave the way for a Jeremy Corbyn premiership (a figure they previously regarded as irretrievably doomed). 

Philip Hammond, emboldened by the humiliation of the Prime Minister who planned to sack him, has today outlined an alternative. After formally departing the EU in 2019, Britain will continue to abide by the rules of the single market and the customs union: the acceptance of free movement, European legal supremacy, continued budget contributions and a prohibition on independent trade deals. Faced with the obstacles described above, even hard Brexiteers such as Liam Fox and Michael Gove have recognised that the game is up.

But though they have lost battles, the Leavers are still set to win the war. There is no parliamentary majority for a second referendum (with the pro-Remain Liberal Democrats still enfeebled), Hammond has conceded that any transitional arrangement would end by June 2022 (the scheduled date of the next election) and most MPs are prepared to accept single market withdrawal. The prospect of Britain avoiding Brexit, or even a "hard" version, remains doubtful. 

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.