The truth about those cuts, part 79
The best letter I’ve read in a long time . . .
By Mehdi Hasan Published 09 June 2010 11:04From the Guardian's letters page today:
Let me just make sure I've got this right. First of all, a bunch of bankers lose unimaginable amounts of our money by making bets on a bunch of dodgy mortgages. Eventually the banks realise the bets are based on worthless assets, and that technically they are bankrupt.
The government bails them out with billions of pounds, transferring the debt to the public sector. The bankers, full of gratitude, pay themselves multimillion-pound bonuses which they invest in such a way as to pay as little tax as possible.
We express our anger by voting out the government and replacing it with a new one, which promptly blames the debt on the profligate spending of its predecessor, and tells us that the only solution is to cut public services. Civil servants lose their jobs, unemployment rises, libraries are closed, support services for the very poor, the dispossessed and the desperate disappear. Those who caused this mess in the first place get away with it, and are probably already planning the next disaster.
Are we really that gullible?
Matt Nicholson
Bristol
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37 comments
Great letter.
Clem the Gem
I stand contrite and chastened. I will no longer attempt to find humour in those who's contribution to this debate is to propagate the shallow narrative published in the Sun under "Freddie Starr ate my Hamster" type headlines.
In my defence, and as a fellow member of the Labour party, I would ask how this debate, in which you assert that Blair and Brown are Thatchers Heirs, and that the current problems are an effect of continuing what you refer to as the "economic consensus" of the former Conservative governments, is weakened by my earlier comments on "popular capitalism" and how many of those who are now bemoaning the state of our finances have bought into that themselves. If we are to learn from what we all now need to look at ourselves before looking outwards, and ask ourselves what is more important – a Gucci handbag or a decent education for our children.
@Writeon: You're absolutely right. The "crisis" has become the pretext for a massive global power-grab on the part of international finance which will basically wipe out the status quo of the last 70 years in Europe and North America. We're going to learn what the "developing world" has known for generations. Quick and effective radicalisation and action is needed NOW. The UK needs a credible socialist party, and those that already exist in Europe need to up their game immediately.
DK - absolutely. Its scary. The trouble with social democratic parties is that they always fail at leadership in a crisis - but something has to be done so that our children have a future. I can't sit listening the bullying rhetoric of the Cameroons.
DK & Ona
We get the parties and then the government we deserve. If we want to change that we need to do more than talking about what we need and start to deliver it. If we need a credible socialist party then we must either start again or get involved in those that already exist locally to make our views known.
But our views don't matter, nobody who counts is listening. Whilst ordinary people, who are the vast majority, have a degree of influence on the direction of politics in our society, they have, unfortunately, next to no real power, and it's power that counts. Power means one is able not just to express opposition, but that one has the power not to accept it and resist.
In its essence, democracy is about the people having power over the character and direction of society, not merely influence, which can of course be simply ingnored by those who have more power.
The point of democracy, which is why it is such a truly radical and dangerous concept, and why democracy is so rarely encountered in history, is that ordinary people manage to wrest power away from those who normally have it and begin to learn to control their own lives.
This happened, this democracy, happened in the UK in two periods in the last century, both in the aftermath of the two, great, suicidal, destrutive, wars. In the aftermath those responsible for the wars, the ruling elite/establishment were both exhausted and discredited. This allowed, in the fifties and sixties, democracy to bloom once more after its long, long, slumber. The Thatcherite counter-revolution put paid to all of that, and the rule of the masters returned, the yoke returned, which has been the system we've endured for the last few decades. Decades of eonomic illusion which have culminated in the crash and current depression, which will change everything.
What's frightening is that ordinary people have virtually no political representation in parliament. Parliament has become, once more, the property of society's elite and those willing to serve their interests. Arguably parliament hasn't been this unrepresentative for a couple of centuries.
So how do people, the people, defend themselves, when they have no political representatives, no real Union Movement to speak of, no organised working class, no newspapers, no national forum, and no real power?
Well, it's not going to be easy. It certainly won't centre on parliament or the media, or the workplace; it will have to happen in the streets, like a colour revolution at the fall of Stalinism/Communism. How long that'll take depends on many different factors.
Medhi, I saw you this morning on the telly talking about the cuts.
I must say I was a little disappointed. I thought you should have emphasised the points that are made in the letter you quote and challenge the whole concept of the cuts.
You should have challenged the notion of "we are all in it together".
NO WE ARE NOT!!
The cuts are going to affect poor people and ordinary people, those who did not cause the crisis.What do the rich care about the NHS or the State schools?? They have their own private hospitals and their own private schools.
Raising taxes however would affect "the haves" and taxes are a much fairer way to reduce the deficit than cuts in the public sector. Also cuts mean thousands of people are going to loose their jobs , which is going to stop the economy from recovering as well as being unfair to those people and to those who receive their services.
Finally asking people what they prefer to have cut is like asking turkeys at Xmas how they prefer to be killed.
Worse it is making people make selfish choices as I am sure people will choose cuts which won't affect them personally.It is a ridiculous survey especially as those in greatest needs are in a minority and therefore the majority is bound to want their benefits cut.
It is a gimmick as you said but I wish you had been a little more aggressive about inequality and the consequences of the cuts on ordinary people while the rich carry on as usual.
Close to where I live are the most expensive properties in the UK. I can assure you, these people are not worried. In a few months time, they will still live in their grotesque mansions and they will still drive their Ferraris and their Mercedes Benz.NO worries!
Only the British would vote into power the party supported by all the gits who caused the global meltdown in the first place through sheer unadultarated greed.
I guess in life you get what you deserve - unless you are one of the super rich.
A few months ago, my brother, who works in the City, received an enormous, absolutely enormous, bonus. More than most ordinary people earn in an entire lifetiem.
He, having been given some very valuable information by a friend in Whitehall, did a few hours trading and earned his firm a staggering 100 million by the close. He's already fabulously wealthy and lives like a prince. To his credit he does give substantial ammounts to charity, and this functions as a salve for his concience, which sometimes troubles him. But mostly he thinks he taking part in a kind of game in the City, a mixture of poker, roulette and chess.
This may come as a surprise, but the game is rigged to a large extent. It isn't really what it seems to be. It isn't really a 'free market' anymore, because most of the players are so big and so powerful, if they were allowed to 'loose' the entire house of credit cards would collapse and along with it the rest of society.
This is an extremely unfair state of affairs for ordinary people who have to pick up the tab for the 'market's' excesses, whether they like it or not. They don't have a choice, and the markets don't intend to give them one, not any more.
My brother's o.k. actually, but some of his friends are scary bastards, especially some of the Americans I've bumped into at dinner parties. Only a few weeks ago, when they were bragging and gloating about how well they were doing and complaining that Obama was anti-business, anti-profit, and a socialist; one druken swine insisted on sharing his political philosophy with me. According to him and he swore 'everybody' thinks just like him, 'freedom and democracy are no longer compatible'! The people and their numbers, their demands and entitlements, are bankrupting America,and they are a threat to freedom and the creation of wealth, which is what he was put on this good earth by God to create. Amazing stuff. One couldn't make this stuff up. The thing is, when powerful people, people who count, people who have enormous influence due to their vast wealth, begin to think like this, that democracy and freedom are no longer compatible, where are we headed?
The point is, ordinary people are going to be shafted, big time, and unfortunately there is bugger all they can do about it.
Isn't it time we had a call to arms ?
And the bewildering propoganda as if A priori cuts are inevitable gets on myt tits big time
Spend spend fucking spend
the profits of the multinationals on public services
How about questioning why we should even pay interest on money at all? The interest of the debt is never put in question. Why should we give our earnings to the bankers, who have done nothing?
This is without even going into the fact that the so called 'money' which the banks lent in the first place was created from nothing, has no intrinsic value or reality to it whatsoever.
Mehdi thank you for summing up just how incompetent yourself and Labour are. The best letter I have ever read! I have no doubt it is Mehdi as you are completely clueless. I hope you read this and a little of it sinks in.
Forget bailing out the banks for one moment, we are spending 158 billion more pounds a year than we take in taxes. Labour has spent way more than we generate for years. Had they been more sensible and curtailed their/are spending we wouldn’t be in this state. Labour has done nothing but the equivalent of sticking it on the credit card when they should have been saying we can’t afford this. Eventually when you don’t pay off your credit card the bank sends the bailiff round. That is the stage we are at; the credit card is maxed out. So Mehdi how exactly can we hold off on the cuts? The interest alone on the debt we owe will if we don’t take action cost so much we will never pay it off. One other point the IMF and others that buy are debt and loan money to us know we are nearly broke, think of them as are bank. They are at the point of sending the bailiffs round to get back what they have loaned us. Take Greece as an example of the bailiffs coming round. Yours and Labours way of dealing with the current crises is to spend yet more money we don’t have. The reason we are in this state!! Are bank (IMF) needs to see we are being sensible. Again take Greece as an example of what happens when you bury your head in the sand and carry on spending. In short we have absolutely no choice, if we don’t do something now we will have cuts forced upon us.
I’m a working class guy I support Labour but even I can see they have destroyed this country. I will never vote for them again. Of course the banks have a lot to answer for but the fact is Labour have still made a complete mess of the public finances. I repeat we spend 158 billion more than we take in taxes. So instead of getting angry about the cuts that are coming, get angry at the way are so called party helped destroy the economy. Also please when you get five minutes grab Gordon Brown, go back to school and study some basic economics!
Yes, and what's worse the public were gullible to believe that Cameron is safe with the NHS: he is not. Expect NHS hospitals to be wholly or partly private in three or four years time, and a second term Tory government will introduce health insurance.
Not only gullible but foolish to believe the Tory rhetoric and vote them into a position in which they can govern with a little help from craven liberals. An election result that the British will rue for some years to come.
Even if that analysis were accurate (and knowing very little economics I must assume it is) what's the alternative?
Fair or not, the country has a massive deficit and a worse debt. Surely, the budget can't stay in deficit forever? What has to be done? Tax rises (a la Geoff Howe, circa 1981), which would choke off recovery, or spending cuts.
I don't think it was the economic situation that lost Labour the election. I don't even think it was Brown.
The reason Labour lost the election was because of the lies.
The population of the country don't expect much from their politicians. Major and Blair and then Brown and those around them are the reason for this.
People want change. They want to believe in what people are telling them.
This is why the Tories didnt win the election, this is why Labour lost the election.
In order for people to believe the overtly Machiavellian Westminster lie machines need to stop.
All this movement by all parties towards the centre in order to grab power. Its a massive turn-off and potentially the end of serious democracy.
@J_Roberts: The reason people have accepted and generally embraced the coalition is due to it being seen as "something different".
This is what people want. They certainly don't want the strange David Miliband.
That guy, i doubt he will never be PM.
There was a view in the 80s, that Margaret Thatcher was a Maoist and was wanting to precipitate the revolution... Cameron and Osbourne may in fact be attempting to politicise by confrontation with the contradictions of capitalism! Frankly it doesn't seem a more absurd explanation than the one that ordinary people are being offered across Europe to justify mass cuts and privatisation of public services.
Am I the only one who doesn't understand this? If we effectively own banks, why not take the profits from said until they've paid off the national debt? If we just took half the profits and let them have their million pound bonuses, it would still be better than pulling the negligible safety net from under the most desperately needy.
Someone please explain why we can't do this, it's driving me mad.
People don't realise yet that cutting public services will 'choke off recovery' much quicker than a small tax on the banks (and other measures) would.
If people have less to spend, or no income, there will be no growth in the economy. Tax revenue will also fall. Expenditure - in the form of benefits will increase. The deficit will grow and there'll be less income to pay it off.
Cutting public services is not a recipe for economic growth.
This is a common analysis fail. The problem isn't the *debt*, it's the *deficit* - ie the annual increase in the debt.
This is large because tax revenues have fallen, because of the recession, whereas they were expected to rise (and hence future public sector planning was based on rising spending at the same time).
It isn't large because of anything to do with the banks, other than the fact that because they aren't making as much money as they pretended they used to, they aren't paying as much tax as they used to.
@Buck: for the banks that the government owns (ie Lloyds, RBS, Northern Rock), it *does* get the profits.
I disagree with this article based on my understanding of the IFS reports on the deficit.
It seems that the structural deficit - that is tax and spend and DOES NOT INCLUDE THE BAILOUT TO GREEDY BANKERS amounts to £90bn. This amount has been steadily increasing since the 2001 election. For example the NHS got an increase of 57bn or 3.2% in real terms. In 2000 total government spending amounted to 36.8% of national income. It now stands at 48%. The decision to spend so much was political.
Can I also suggest you look at the Fitch report issued yesterday. Unless we reduce the structural deficit we are in trouble. Real trouble with investors moving funds, credit rating reduced, higher interest rates, more costly government borrowing - look at what Greece, Spain and Portugal pay - higher unemployment etc etc. This is real and rather than try and score petty political points we all need to look at the situation the country is in. A minor part of the problem was caused by the aftermath of the world financial crisis but much of the structural deficit was political decision making. We need to support whichever government that is in office in tackling the problems. To be honest, I think after all my reading, I trust the present government more that I did that of Gordon Brown's. He was the driving force behind the huge public spending and he never permitted colleagues to question his decision making.
Eh? The deficit doesn't even include the bank bailout! Talk about a red herring, Medhi. Get your facts right, son.
Tax the banks, tax the rich. Public services are stretched already.
John B - whilst your last statement may be true is it not also the case that there is a cause and effect tale too? That is the the effect that, once revealed to be a lie, the banks behaviour "pretending" that they were making money, had on businesses, individuals and markets confidence on the economy. The knock on effect of this massive loss of confidence was for people and businesses to try and realise their assets - either by taking their money back or by private sector investers trying to protect themselves and their shareholders profit margin by putting the screws on the employees. Some companies did go bust, but others have remained afloat and some even in large profit.
Setting aside the idea that whilst running the biggest business of all in the UK, Gordon Brown should have examined the books of all of the banks too (surely they are required to audit for themselves?), I find it hard to see how a lie that started with bankers is now seen by a lie by Gordon Brown. And, oddly, how spending, or even borrowing to improve the standards of the most vital services a developed country can provide for all of its people, can be deemed profligate.
Even stranger is that people cannot see the relationship between public spending (not just on staff) but on goods and services it consumes. For example, imagine the cost of keeping all of the phones in the public sector, the numbers you call to make your hospital appointments, the ones you call to enquire about your court case or tribunal hearing. BT - hugely in profit, paying its chief executive huge bonuses and salary, its shareholders dividends and trying to hold its staff to below inflation pay increases. Remembering that until the 80s we all owned a share in the British telecomms industry, until the dawn of popular capitalism, where we were all encouraged to invest a small amount in a privatised company,in return for a few miserable pounds a year in dividends. Do any of us know who these shareholders are? We can probably find their names - but they no longer live next door to us as once they did.
Is it any surprise then, that when asked recently during PMQs when Cameron was asked when he would sell the part state owned banks to his mates in the city, he said, he preferred popular capitalism. I say this in the hope that people may, during the firesale of our public services which could be provided within the private sector, remember that they are already shareholders in the health service and the education system. We have invested heavily in that service now and at the moment the value of that investment is weighing heavily on our shoulders. But we should not sell that valuable legacy to the nearest profit seeking millionaire any more than we would sell our children.
That letter is totally confused and wrong. The bankers may have caused the crash, but the structural deficit was caused by Gordon Brown's anti-Keynesian borrowing during the good years.
Would that be this Keynes?
In 1999, Time magazine included Keynes in their list of the 100 most important and influential people of the 20th century, commenting that; "His radical idea that governments should spend money they don't have may have saved capitalism".
Sir Philip Green.
A UK resident, Green is based in the week at a London hotel, while his South African wife Christina is a Monaco resident with their children Chloe and Brandon, in a multi-million pound apartment.[3]
Green plays tennis with Prince Albert of Monaco and counts as his friends,David and Simon Reuben, Lord Hanson, Tom Hunter, Mohamed al-Fayed of Harrods, Bill Kenwright and Simon Cowell.[3]
Among Green's more extravagant items are a 208ft/£32 million Benetti yacht ''Lionheart''[5] and a £20 million Gulfstream G550 private jet his wife gave him as a Christmas present.[3] For his birthday, his wife bought him a solid gold Monopoly set, featuring his very own acquisitions.
Green has been described as "flash". For his son's Bar Mitzvah in 2005, he spent £4 million on a three-day event for over 200 friends and family in the French Riviera. He also hired Andrea Bocelli and Destiny's Child, and Cantor Gideon Zelermyer to perform.[7] For his 50th birthday he flew 200 guests in a chartered Boeing 747 to a hotel in Cyprus for a three-day toga party, where they were serenaded by Tom Jones and Rod Stewart, who was reportedly paid £750,000 for a 45-minute set. For his 55th birthday he flew 100 guests 8,500 miles in two private jets from London Stansted Airport. They arrived at the exclusive Maldives resort of Four Seasons: Landaagiraavaru, an eco-spa on a private Indian Ocean island.[8]
He is known to be a keen football fan and is a Tottenham Hotspur supporter. His friend Bill Kenwright asked him to be a majority shareholder of Everton FC but the offer was declined, he does however offer business advice to the club alongside Tesco CEO Terry Leahy.
Craig,
I understand why you feel so angry and frustrated. I just feel rather sad and powerless that so much time has been wasted following economic policies, over at least thirty years, by successive governments, which have been completely barmy.
It isn't just the fault of Gordon Brown or New Labour, they followed a course that was basically mapped out decades ago. An economic policy based on an elaborate illusion, but which was hidden by sleight of hand and massive revenues from the North Sea. The oil and gas, diverted attention from how badly the rest of the economy was realing doing. Also an ideological decission was made to run down the manufacturing sector in favour of the financial sector where far higher profits, compared to investment, could be made, far quicker.
What you call 'basic economics' is, dare I say this? mostly, totally wrong about almost everything. Basic economics, if one goes back and looks at what most economists were writing, don't take my word for it, take a look yourself; most establishment economists thought that the economic policies pursued over the last thirty years, were the right ones, only a handful of critics tried to sound the alarm, and they were simply ignored and called pessimists, or worst still, socialists, which made it easy not to listen.
What one can blame New Labour for is that they didn't have the will and courage to break radically with the nonsense that passed for Thacherite economic policies, and instead kept right on with them to the bitter end and disaster.
Finally, it's not just Greece that's in trouble. Virtually all the countries who follwed the Chicago School/Thactherite economic model, are in deep trouble, as is the United States. All the banks are bust too, only they are desparately trying to hide their trillions of losses. This depression isn't confined to the UK alone, but is a depression affecting the entire Western World, where thirty years of economic madness is finally falling apart.
It's also a fallacy, which is quite common, to begin comparing the finances of a country to a family, or in Thatcher's case, a tiny cornershop.
They are not even remotely the same thing. It's like thinking one can take the basic design of a paper aeroplane, because it flies, and simply scale it up and build a giant paper plane and put passengers in it. Don't try it!
Unlike ordinary individuals, financial institutions and countries can 'just' create money out of thin air when they have to, and they do this a lot.
The Big Problem with the model we've followed ovet the last few decades was that it was obviously falling apart, because it was deeply flawed from the begining. The creation of massive of debt was an 'artificial' way of keeping the wheels of the economy turning, at almost any cost, and hoping desparately that something would turn up to save things, before the entire, gigantic, confidence trick was recognised.
We have a form of state capitalist system, without massive state subsidies and help in myriad ways, the system would grind to a halt even quicker. Keynes understood this and without his policies to 'save capitalism from itself' we'd arguably still be stuck in a 1930's style depression.
In Britain the creation of debt was a form of massive subsidy from the taxpayer, without the creation of debt, as wages were kept low, how on earth were people supposed to buy anything, and without sufficient demand what happens to consumption and growth? And without growth what happens to employment?
Finally, who and what exactly is the market? I mean we hear a lot about it, but what is it really? Does anybody know? Why, in a democracy, do we give so much power, in effect a form of veto over government policy, to the markets? Do we even need the markets or the banks?
@Buck. The only reason we can't do it is lack of political will, but it would take a lot: the international financial cartels and their rating agencies would blackball any government that did this. Things would get very nasty--accounts would have to be frozen and assets seized, I imagine. But it's probably less violent than what the Tories will do, with the Lib Dems' blessing.
What's happening now, (after we empty the treasury to save the financial sector, which gambled, and lost, and if we live in anything close to a 'free market system' should have been allowed to fail and fall) is a ghastly re-run of the 1930's Great Depression, only this time it's arguably worse.
We are not at the end of a mere recession, with recovery on the way, or even in the middle. We are only at the beginning, and the worst is yet to come, so hold on to your hats!
With a treasury that's empty, or is apparently empty, we now resort to massive cuts, just like in the second phase to the Great Depression, before most of us were even born. 20% cuts at this time will blow the bottom out of the country and drastically reduce demand, leading to a fall in production and taxes, leading to more cuts, leading to a dreadful downward spiral and more depression.
This new government's policies are precisely the wrong type of medicine that won't lead to recovery but make things worse. It's almost medievil economics, bleeding a sick patient dry, weakening him, and then one's surprised when he expires. It's like Keynes never existed.
What's really happening is something else completely. We are seeing the creation of a new type of society, where there will only be two 'classes' the very, very, rich; and the rest, who will be poor. Think... Jane Austin's England and you'll get the picture. Everyone will be poorer in the new age of austerity, everything will be at lower level of economic activity, except for the elite at the top, who arguably will be even richer and certainly more powerful than we've seen for a couple of centuries.
This is why people have to resist now, while they still have the strength to resist, before they've been squeezed and crushed and are on their knees begging for crumbs from the masters table, by then it may be too late and we'll have entered a new,, old-style, world for good.
Global edict; the private sector is abolished
all provision will be social
there will be no overproduction
Free 3d tellies for all from the moment of innovation
Neither Mehdi Hasan nor the letter's writer understand what's being done.
The government cuts are not to repay the debt, but to reduce the deficit (our income/expenditure differential). Further, the whole economy was over-burdened with debt before the banking crisis, encouraged by brown and his virtually compulsive spending. He also couldn't deregulate fast enough! For those who argue the Tories would have done more, that's neither here nor there. "It was Labour wot done it!"
CromwellChiefofMen
You must stop reading the Sun.
Caroline - It is not good enough to say people must "stop reading the Sun".
New Labour carried on with the Thatcherite economic consensus that we had pre 1997. From 1980 to 2010, we have overall seen a huge increase in personal debt, and acorresponding increase in the public Deficit.
Gordon Brown carried on the work of Deregulating Financial Services, and was praiosed by all (including Vince Cable) for his "light touch" when it came to the City.
As a Labour member, I believe we need to learn from this, and not duck the truth because it is inconvenient.