Mehdi Hasan

Mehdi Hasan’s polemical take on politics, economics and foreign affairs

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Debunking five Tory myths about the election result

Challenging the “narrative” that is emerging . . .

Can we take a step back, please? And consider some of the claims that are being made right now by politicians and pundits alike?

1) The Tories are claiming that they "won". This is nonsense. In a hung parliament, by definition, no party can claim "victory". In the British system, you win only when you have a majority in the Commons. Cameron failed to get one.

2) A Lab-Lib coalition government would not be unrepresentative of public opinion. On the contrary, the two parties combined would have the support of 53 per cent of voters. This is the "anti-Conservative" majority that Labour ministers and officials keep refering to. Remember: no government since the Second World War has ever been elected with more than 50 per cent of the vote.

3) Gordon Brown is "defying" the public and "clinging on" to office. Not true. Brown is following consitutional precedent, which ensures continuity of government and gives the prime minister the right to stay on and try to form a coalition that has the confidence of parliament. Brown is behaving as (the Tory) Edward Heath behaved in February 1974.

4) The country wants strong government, which is single-party government. Really? Why then did the voters not give any one of the three major parties a majority in parliament? The reality is that coalitions can be stronger and more effective than single-party administrations -- even in the eyes of the markets. Ten of the 16 governments that enjoy triple-A credit ratings are coalitions. Seven of the largest fiscal consolidations carried out in OECD countries since 1970 occurred under coalition governments.

5) Labour is interested in party advantage; the Tories are concerned about the national interest. Rubbish! As the Telegraph reported this week, the Tories are willing to bribe the Unionist parties in Ulster with up to £200m of taxpayers' cash in the form of postponed public spending cuts in the province. Is this putting the nation first, or is it partisan and self-interested deal-making of the grubbiest kind?

 

 

 

59 comments

Nick's picture

It is also quite frequently said in this that the Tories won so may seats, please remember though that whilst this may sound good at an election it is infact rather unimpressive. Fact is that they had a much lower number of seats to start with, why because they were so inneffective in opposition for 13 years. All the gaining seats of seats has done for the Tories is bring them up to a level where they are still not effective enough to gain a majority of 1 over the 'opposition'; that's not much good in pushing through radical change is it!

cameronp's picture

'Of course the right are too, but at least they don't close down opposition and open discussion like politically-correct lefties.'

I wonder if Tory Rob has been following the media in the run up to the election? The majority view expressed was that St Dave will put the country to rights,Angel Nick will stand at his side, and Gordon the Devil would return to hell.
I love the right-wing ranters, they are just so funny!

FrankO'Callaghan's picture

What FORM of PR will the Liberals insist on? Will it be the politican-friendly 'list' or the voter-friendly 'Multi-seat constituency, Single Transferable Vote'. The answer to this seemingly technical question will determine the political character of the UK's future.

Douglas Clarke's picture

Five myths of the Left:

1) Nobody won the election - true, there was no *conclusive* winner, but the Conservative Party took the largest share of the vote. To ignore that would be a tad absurd.

2) That a Lib-Lab Pact has a mandate because 23 + 29 > 50. That is deeply disingenous. The LibDems campaigned heavily against Labour, and a little under half their voters would choose the Tories as a second choice. (There's a BBC poll to illustrate this somewhere, but I can't find it atm)

More to the point, 23 + 36 > 50 as well, and by a larger margin, rendering the argument rather moot.

3) That Gordon Brown is being "statesmanlike" by reaching out to other parties - no, he has finally decided to accept power-sharing, after having spurned it for years, because it is the only way of surviving. Had he put together a coalition in 2007, or even before the election, he would have some mandate to claim that now. But he didn't, he didn't and he doesn't.

4) That Cameron "failed" - on the contrary, considering the state of the Conservative Party in 2005 (fewer MPs than Labour returned in 1983) to become the largest party is pretty stunning. Labour took no fewer than three elections to do that.

5) That the people are crying out for PR - Uh.... no. Labour's proposal is AV, which is a good deal *less* proportional than FPTP. A majority of the electorate voted for parties that propose or support a majoritarian system of some kind. A significant fraction (~30%) voted for PR, but most people care less about the voting system and more about the economy, education, et cetera. You know, actual issues.

Daniel Taghioff's picture

There is a relationship, albeit one made tenuous by first past the post, between what voters believe in and what parties put out as policies.

Therefore if two political parties find it hard to form a coalition, based on policy differences, then they have less of a common mandate than two parties with an overall smaller share of the vote but more in common.

This is what puts the representative into representative democracy. Those arguing against Lib Lab on purely numerical grounds are missing the point of democracy.

Return to Go, do not collect £200

Nick's picture

It's really not about 'conclusive' winners, it's simply about getting past the post. The Tories didn't manage it and that is all there is too it. Thankfully we have a constitution, Cameron will look pretty silly to harp on about mp's obeying the rules if he thinks he can 'govern' on some moralistic ground, he can't!. Any deal he stitches up with the Libs will be short lived and then we're back to the polls. Cameron can turn it around all he likes, but the reality is he had a pretty unimpressive result because people just don't trust him on the economy. It's got to be another election in the relatively short term when Labour and Liberals can put things together properly, with Milliband, the public will go for that with a resounding majority and then the Tories can lick their wounds and talk about finding another lack lustre leader as well as find a chancellor a tad more impressive than Osborne!

blue_samson's picture

I voted tory this time. I have voted labour and liberals in the past though.

- 'The Tories have won': don't take my word for it just listen to the liberals. Enough labour voters crossed to the libdems to undermine labours and cause them to loose in labour seats - I bet they wont do that again.
- a Lab-Lib pact would be a disaster for Labour and would wipe them out for a generation. It would only last 6 months and cause outrage in England. Labour should sit tight and let the lib-con government run its course and then labour will be back in power in 2 years.
- Gordon Brown is "defying" the public and "clinging on" to office: Yep this is very true. I've heard many labour supports say this is true. NS knows of the chat amongst labour backers going on at the momement about what to do about Gordon (you know what I mean). He would not win a competitive vote of labour party members. If he does not step down next week it will damage Labour long term. But Gordon is ruthless and will do whatever and say whatever he needs to to retain PM e.g. I hear from an insider that when Nick called Gordon and raised the issue about process for selecting a PM in Lib-lab coalition, Gordon went completely bazerk and blasted off in a rabit rant telling Nick where to go which ended the call - what a way to negotiate. Its a big problem for the labour party needing a solution like that used to get rid of Thatcher.
- "The country wants strong government, which is single-party government". What? Where did NS get this from? Have they been listing to Boris again and thinking thats what people think? Most Tories I know (I live in a tory landslide constituancy) are deflated and are very pro a Lib-con coallition which gives a strong working majority. There are quite a lot of the liberal policies which the tories quite like e.g. £10k personal allowance, fixed term parliments, smaller class sizes for infants and fairer taxes. But PR is a deal breaker for the Tories.
- "Labour is interested in party advantage:" Yep, this is partly true. Both the tories and labour are interested in party advantage and it sucks. The tories are more interested in England and labour are more interested in Scottish national interests.

john's picture

But Nick Robinson on the BBC keeps telling me the Conservatives won!

manon101's picture

Numbers mean a lot, but it's hard to quantify good and the right thing to do. Working in a small independent charity, I just hope that whatever Government is formed it understands that investment in the public and third sectors are crucial to any change/fairness/society/community agenda. Cut my budget and you cut services to 8000 vulnerable people - not a lot in the whole scheme of things but at £20 a head p.a, we're far better value than any MP.

Robert's picture

I still think it most likely that Cameron will form a pact with the LD's.

Clegg will then get doubly shafted, IMHO.

First by Cameron not granting a real route to PR in time for the next election (a referendum on the same day as the next GE would NOT be at all acceptable).

Second the LD's will come a cropper at next years local elections in the inevitable swing against the ruling party - either to Labour or "Ratepayer" type independent Tories.

manon101's picture

The Tories will actively campaign against PR, whether they're in bed with the Lib Dems or not. They've said that, surely?

Luke's picture

Tory Rob is clearly a total arsehole.
probably born of the silver spoon and the first person to engage in the class war with such vigour. 'politically bankrupt little class'

what i find highly amusing is that despite the fact it would have been a record for labour to get a fourth term (the general public are always exposed to the bad sides of a partys term) through the hateful media we have in this country.

a media system that takes pleasure in cutting people down and highlighting shock stories to sell papers. all we have heard over the past years is repeated statements about labours financial incompetence.

i do hope people on here can still remember the financial and social chaos the tories presided over. 15% interest rates! inflation out of control.

this never happened in 13 years of brown. his only failing apparently being the totally unprecedented global meltdown! how in the hell was he supposed to stop that?! you moron.

then we have good old salmon chops (D.Cameron) who managed to conduct all three television debates without an answer with any substance at all!! he is a qyarter of the man that brown is, making his accent to prospective prime minister with nothing but a substantial financial backing. so desperate he was he states in the Sun newspaper that he 'watches friends' his favourite program, what an utter tosser.

even after all this, two wars, a global recession and three terms in government the useless tories still could not win!!! its amazing.

no wonder your so frustrated! for the record labour got 422 seats in 97!! nearly 120 more than the conservatives pathetic effort.

i hate you conservative selfish bastards. you ruined the coutry with your extreme privatisation. to the point that we own next to nothing in our own country anymore. water, gas, nuclear, north sea oil, railways, electricity generation! all sold for the quick buck, for maggie thatcher to keep over 3million on the dole.

now look at what you left us. pricks

Luke's picture

another thing, people are crying out that the conservatives have gained 90ish seats. a quick look over the past few elections shows that they were on less than 200 seats before this election!! how could they possibly have gone back any further than that! they are back to middleish party territory from what was almost the political wilderness.

you talk of all they are going to do.
you forget how much better this country is now after labour took charge.

net outside EU immigration last year due to points system was -8000!! wholey moley, now that doesnt get reported. so tell me, how is camerons proposed 'cap' going to work on that?? will he invite people back in?? he cant stop EU migration, as no party can without leaving the EU.

and how is this cap going to work, neglective of the skills coming in (labours idea is to use the points system to ensure we get the labour force we need) all i can draw from the tory manifesto is that supposing the cap was 100,000 you could get 100,000 dishwashers in, then when a nuclear physicist wanted to come to the country he would be told he could not because the cap had been reached. pure genius.

if only the papers were forced to be neutral and report facts. not state controlled and allowed to voice any opinion they liked. but they must present the cold hard facts unbiased then comment upon them and draw their conclusions. we would not have this swing to the conservatives then.

if only people knew what was behind that bastards rosey cheeks. bullingdon boys binge drinking club. you toffs really are utter arseholes.

you think you are so important. but tell me, who is it that makes the things that make the money that make the world go round.

the working classes. not you pricks born into money. you should be made to prove your worth. in fact lets have a class war. watch as the people who spend their time working hard tear you toff pricks to pieces.

Luke's picture

Douglas, your views so some good reasoning. however can i just point out that the conservatives had the same amount of seats give or take 10 in 1997 as they did in 2005. thats after three elections!! on the third election for labour 1997 they attained a landslide 200+
seat majority (over cons)so d.cameron really hasnt done very well at all.

please research your fcats everyone.

Douglas Clarke's picture

Luke,

I am well aware that between 1997 and 2005, the Conservative Party went *nowhere* - that is exactly my point. Cameron took a party that was broken, beaten and frankly, in real danger of never governing again, and made it the largest party in the Commons - in a single election!

To do the same, Labour gradually won back support in '87 and '92 before their victory in '97. Cameron is being viewed as a failure because we allowed our expectations to become so high - it took Labour three parliamentary terms and three leaders to do what Cameron did in one. And 1997 was Labour's fourth election in Opposition, not the third.

And I'd like to address a few more of your more reasonable comments, but first - calm down, mate. Funnily enough, we conservatives aren't all a load of binge drinking yobbs who despise life and eat puppies - we just disagree with you, yeah?

You attack privitisation - but Labour came to office with a radical privitisation agenda, which was slightly disconcerting. You attack Black Wednesday - I point you to the Winter of Discontent. We all have our gremlins, and frankly, to claim that decisions (right or wrong) made *thirteen years ago* somehow disqualify a party from governing if borderline crackers.

And I'd like to finish with a brief comment on leftism. Why, oh why, oh why, are you so angry? The Left never "disagrees" with someone, they have to "hate" them. They don't just disagree with the Tory Party, they actively dispute their very right to exist. Why so much hate, Luke, why?

George Garrett's picture

The Tories did well in the election? That’s piffle? If you consider the amount of money and the four years media effort pumped into defeating labour and the PR behind Cameron. Cameron is a failure.
Cameron promised to stop Yar-Boo politics, support good government policy but backed Osborne. ‘Let the banks fall.’
GB saved all saver’s money in all banks and in Icesave. Cameron should have backed the Labour Gov. How many times did he blame GB for ‘Boom and Bust;’ When no such thing happened in GB’s time as chancellor. Then Cameron blamed GB for the Global recession. This, as everyone with half a brain knows, is a lie.
The charge that GB didn’t mend the roof when the sun was shining is a lie. No sir! Wrong again. GB and labour mended the NHS, mended impoverished state schools, and cured roaring inflation. GB set up the AFS to try to control banks. GB is trying to get Global Agreement on control of banks. Cameron was no help in any of these matters. Cameron didn’t support physcal policies or quantative easing, insulating houses, boiler replacement, or car scrappage schemes to support and save jobs, mortgages, Child credits.
People abuse systems and they should be routed out, lazy people should have to ‘workfare’ for dole money. The welfare state should be reduced and simplified. No doubt, but Softly, softly catchy this monkey, because a ruthless all-out attack will cause widespread disruption on the streets. Then Mr. (Naïve) Cameron could kiss goodbye to his precious triple AAA rating and face the double-dip recession which we all fear.
I can’t for the life of me see the Liberal party, Clegg, Cable, et al promising to vote for rubbish like that. People suspected Tories, they didn’t give Cameron the power to risk everything. Cameron failed his masters.

cameronp's picture

Douglas Clarke must not have fully experienced first hand the appalling effects the Thatcher years had on so many ordinary people.
It was quite simple, people were told there is no gain without pain (Nigel Lawson). The only drawback being that it was not the well off who experienced the pain.
I fear we are heading back into old territory once more.

Nick's picture

A bit about Tories…..

There are two breeds of this horrible species, one from wealthy backgrounds; usually recipients of some inheritance handed down through generations with an inherent wish to hang on to all they have with little regard to too much else outside of their self centred selves, the other is a newer breed. A new breed promoted by years of Thatcherism where homeowners from working backgrounds assumed some over inflated sense of belonging to the first species; like little lords in their castles of very modest proportions. Both species have a horrible habit of teaching their offspring the importance of belonging to the Tory breed because it’ll put them ‘a cut above the rest’. So little Tories grow into big Tories and usually develop a horrible double chin through self indulgence on all that classy food they buy from more expensive supermarkets. Luckily for the first kind they can think about savings and growth in their investments as well as planning for their retirement, unfortunately the second kind talk about such security but the majority of them haven’t got a pot to piss in! Sadly many of the rest of us ‘lesser mortals’ can only dream of being handed down an unearned fortune from some previous generation, a sad element assume their new found status from lesser mortal to a Tory ‘belonging’ upon acquisition of their lucky break hand downs. Strangely it’s these ‘Tories’ who condemn modest state handouts to benefit recipients (many of whom are genuine rather than scroungers of the State) although somehow it’s okay to take an inheritance from a generation without ever really earning it at all. The Tories seem to harbour a heartfelt belief that they are British and all that’s British should remain within our tiny island, it’s not really a patriotic belief; it’s just greed and a touch of bigoted racial hatred borne out of an unwillingness to share. They’re a strange breed the new Tories, not posh at all, quite common really with their tattoos and houses full of everything on maxed out credit. They feel safely cocooned in their enormous gas guzzling four by fours; it gives them a sense of being powerful as they tower above those lesser mortals as they peer over their long bull bar faced bonnets on the ½ mile journey to take their little Tories to school. Unfortunately, money and inheritances and all that wealth (even if it does come from an overstretched Visa card account) doesn’t bring with it manners or intelligence just greed and over inflated opinions and that’s the problem because at election times these are the same people who ultimately are in charge of determining who runs the country and unfortunately they don’t really understand such things as manifestos when they put that cross in the box. Oh why can’t we just get rid of this horrid outdated species and just create a society of decent hard working, caring, sharing people who think a little bit more about others than they do themselves!

David's picture

To clear up one of your myths - a combination of Conservatives and Lib Dems constitutes an even larger anti-labour majority with far more legitimacy than any other arrangement. Get over it Mehdi.

xyresic's picture

Not to mention the "largest number of seats since 1931" sleight of tongue...

Broon's picture

It is true that no-one has won, that coalitions can be strong. But I think it is unlikely that it is a simple Left v Right battle. It is likely that at least as many lib dem voters are sick of Labour's economic incompetence as they are opposed to a Tory government. (I realise that this view is based upon a Southern experience of Lib dem voters}

DRB`'s picture

Probelm with the above analysis, is the numbers. The only viable combination is LIB-Tory for a reasonable majority. Any other grouping is likely to be a minority govenment with the attractive tag, the alliance of losers.

Ali's picture

Hilarious to hear Cameron complaining that as Tories had 36% of the vote they had the mandate. As he's so concerned about the percentage of the vote being reflected in parliament I assume his first act will be to introduce a bill for the transition to PR.

Must dash...think I just saw a boar floating over London Bridge...

terence patrick hewett1's picture

Out of all this eccentric thread, the one I like the best is the gloriously snobbish and pompous "Nick." The self-regarding and self-styled intellectuals whom, with good reason the English have always distrusted, are out in force today. Wot larks.

Camus's picture

Bernard: ever hear of a spell checker? Punctutation? Sentence structure? As for the rest of you - barroom bores.

Roshan's picture

Ok, Tories didn't win but Labour definitely lost. I'm no fan of the Tories but Cameron morally has the right to have first crack at forming a government. As for Brown and his acolytes, their arrogance is breathtaking. An unelected PM for three years and now rejected by the voters, but he's still trying to cling to power. Even Tony Blair wasn't that shameelss.

Nick's picture

Well a pompous leftie is a new one on me! Perhaps it's the changing face of politics, there's nowt wrong with a bit of free speech and I take the point about the distrusted being out in force (and I do agree a lot of people see the left in this way even if I think this slightly extraordinary) but really it's people who feel passionate about their beliefs, it's been an interesting thread Terence and I'm glad you seemed to have enjoyed reading some it; that's healthy in any democracy. I'd just like to think that whatever comes of all of this we do form a government that closes the divides and makes for a more caring, decent and hard working society. Perhaps that's a bit idealistic but no one can deny that swingometer is hanging somewhere well and true tween the left and right these days so there's hope I guess, I live in hope however.

Roshan's picture

Stop talking this nonsense about the anti-Tory vote. I could argue that a vite for the Lib Dems was an anti-Labour vote. The Lib-Labour alliance is a myth. You may be anti-Tory but stop being desperate. The Conservatives came first so just accept the result with good grace like Blunkett.

Of course Brown is defying the public. Your legalistic explanation may be correct but it is morally defunct. And you know that.

Put the nation first and ditch the Labour tribalism.

I've always respected your opinions even if I sometimes disagree. But for the first time I think you're being shameless.

DACrowe's picture

Moreover, the reason a coalition deal isn't working out with the Conservatives is they refuse to budge on fair votes ('national interest above party interest'; rubbish), regressive tax plans (inheritance cuts) and Europe.

Let's see how small a majority the progressive coalition has when the Tories are engulfed in civil war.

Nick's picture

I would just add that where I'm coming from; Welfare Reform, has been something which the Labour party has embraced with very effective impact. I work day in and day for those who have had positive benefit from Labour's very good anti-recessionary measures (lowering of inflation, mortgage pre-action protocols, earlier payment of SMI to name but a few) which I see on a daily basis has helped those in need see the awful times we witnessed under Thatcher. But to scotch a myth, Labour is no walk over on benefit handouts, the introduction of Employment Support Allowance and new rules on claiming have done loads to lessen an expectation that the state is there to prop you up whatever; it's very rigourous and no where near the easy ride the Tories try to infer, same on immigration, there is simply no way people can claim in the way the Tories tell you, new law saw to that in 2004. So the Tories plans to make such cuts on welfare won't work because they've been in place for some time under various Welfare Reform Acts introduced by Labour, Cameron sold you all a dud with that one when he misled you on the debates, or is it simply he isn't that familiar with the facts? Don't ever forget it's the Tories who have the track record on mass unemployment and nothing will change on that one til he sees the light and realises you just can't make the savings on cost efficiency, it doesn't work!! It just leads to more and more people down the Jobcentre. And do you know just how much that'll cost you in increased vat and anything other than NI/Tax, not to mention your greatly increased mortgage payments caused by peaking inflation! Any way lets wait and see whether Cameron has to face the humiliation aznd wear one of those awful 'I agree with Nick' tea shirts eh!

compayee's picture

>but no one can deny that swingometer is hanging somewhere well and true (be)tween the left and right these days so there's hope I guess, I live in hope however.

How well said Nick!
Britain is neither a right wing country nor a left wing one.

The recent (virtual) revival of the "right" in Britain -if there ever was one- lived mainly off collective wishful thinking boosted by those -by now irrelevant- opinion polls and the right-wing tabloids. It was quite clear that after Obama made it to the White House, the British right wingers would rather fade out. And so they did. Funny that London proved yet again to be rather a left leaning city
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/region/3.stm

So the Boris momentum is an one off. Actually BoJo leaned himself to the left so he accomodates himself with the people of London. It has to do perhaps too with The Evening Standard becoming more impartial and less pro-Tory after it was bought by that Muscovite oligarch.

Luke's picture

The miners strike. the tory party who used police like a secret police.they always got looked after and their pay increases. until they were like maggies secret police.

anyone who forgets what that bitch did to anywhere north of the midlands should rot in hell.

we are a third rate country thanks to the tories. we led the world in research and development in nuclear power, clean coal technology even rail technology. then they were all sold off to the highest bidder.

now what do we do apart from call centres?? privitisation was a short term solution to her immediate problems that has left this country a laughing stock. yes they needed modernised to some degree and made more efficient but now we have neither.

and the reason it is possible for the 'lefties' to hate so much is due to the fact that they had to suffer through her awful regime. the toffs were still looked after and will never feel the pain so many felt.

i hope the conservatives hang themselves once and for all. the class system has held this country back for decades.

that is why so much hate towards an awful party, and group of people.

Tim's picture

1. Of course they won - they achieved the most seats and the most votes. That's why they will be forming the government.

2. Agree, a Lab-Lib coalition would not be unrepresentative of public opinion (is that a myth?). However, a Lib-Con coalition would be more representative.

3. Maybe the constitution allowed Heath and Brown to defy the public but the perception will be that they are clinging on.

4. So a Lib-Con coalition could help us retain AAA status.

5. Bribery? Investment surely.

georgesdelatour's picture

Are you assuming that all non-English MPs follow the SNP example and agree to abstain on purely English matters like Health and Education? The maths comes out very differently if you make that assumption.

sander van schilt's picture

Coalitions are the price Britain pays for more democratic government. Of course your point demasking Tory myths is on the spot. However, your first two arguments can not be both right. If the Tories do not win in a first-passed-the-post system, then by the same argument 53% of the vote can not be sufficient reason for a lib-lab coalition. Together both parties hold 315 seats, no majority either in the British electoral system.

Ray Curnow's picture

I have to agree. I'm watching the election coverage, mostly BBC, from New Zealand. The mindset of most of the commentators is astonishing. Surely the election is a clear win for the centre-left with well over 50% of the popular vote and a greater share of the seats than the right. Any outcome involving Cameron as PM would be a travesty and surely spell the end of Lib-Dem credibility for all time...

This has to be their one shot at creating a strong, stable, democratic electoral system. Looks like they're going to botch it.

M Bloom's picture

I think the arguments here are fallacious: plangent appeals to legal authority when what's at stake is a question of moral authority.
Given that we've had a Labour government in power for the last 13 years it seems mendacious and arrogant to characterise Lib Dem support as 'anti-Conservative'. Following the logic of his own argument, a Lib-Con 'anti-Labour' colition would clearly be the more representative of public opinion.
The comparison with Edward Heath does not hold either. In the 1974 election Labour may have won more seats but the Tories had a greater share of the public vote (37.9% to Labour's 37.2%)Arguably this gave Heath a tenous moral justification to his reluctance to cede power. Gordon Brown can't even claim this.

bernard2's picture

good grief the sight of joan collins and her put on upper class accent almost wrecked my election , hadent seen her at a tory election function since the days of hitler / sorry i mean thatcher . well , well , well fifteen years in the cold and the once great conservitive govt cant even win a majority . camrons days are numberd .for the labour party that result in terms of seats wasent that bad 258 seats ? haguys how would you like to be wee willy hague and only have 150 seats left like in 1997 . labours only 50 seats behind the torys not over 200 liike the torys in 1997 . the labour party has been left in a strong position just 40 behind the cons , labours in a strong position to live to fight another day .do not feel to down about it , we had 3 terms and the tide for change was against us . 18 months ago we were 28% behind in the polls looking at an electrol train wreck , so dont feel two bad labour. camrons weak , a coalition with the libdems will be vary rocky , and the commons had the votes to stop some of little margrets thatcherite agenda . awell done and well done to gordon brown ? mr brown brought us back from anialation 28% behind the cons for that he disserves credit . WE MAY YET ROO THEY DAY GORDON BROWNS HAND IS NOT ON THE TILLER IN THESE UNCERTIN FINANCIAL TIMES . IN NZ COALITION GOVENMENT IS STABLE AND PRODUCES CHANGES OF GOVENMENT THEY HAVE PR , THE SKY HASENT FALLEN IN .BUT IT WONT WORK BEOUCE ITS NOT IN THE CONSERVITIVES DNA TO SHARE POWER WITH ANYONE , BUT THEY WILL LEARN IN TIME IF WE GET PR IN BRITAN . JUST AS THE CONSERVITIVES LERNT IN NEW ZEALAND IT TOOK THEM LONGER THAN IT DID LABOUR THERE TOO GET USED TO SAHREING POWER WITH OTHER LIKE MINDED PARTYS . HELEN CLARK WAS THE MASTER OF COALITION POLITICS THE NEW ZEALAND PRIME MINISTER .LABOUR PRIME MINISTER ELECTED THREE TIMES IN A ROW .

bernard2's picture

THE OTHER THING THAT SUCKS IS OUR ELECTROL TERM IT SHOULD BE 4 YEARS , IVE ALWAYS THOUGHT 5 YEARS WAS TO LONG , ESPESHLY WHEN THE BLOODY TORIES ARE IN .NEW ZEALAND AND AUSTRALIA HAVE 3 YEAR ELECTROL TERMS .

Bryan's picture

At last someone who doesn't buy the Blair Lite(Cameron) version of what happened. Following the farce from Cambodia, I had all but despaired of British commentators none of whom seemed to grasp that there wasn't a winner just three losers.

Seema's picture

From an Indian perspective, watching the UK battle this one is interesting. We claim to have aWestminster system, but clearly, with our experience of managing coalitions, and successful and stable ones, maybe you all should take a leaf out of our experience. TRicky, no doubt..

Sophie's picture

Why did Clegg choose the words (that Cameron should prove himself) 'capable of seeking to govern'?

Of course he is capable of seeking to govern.

But Cameron's claim that his offer to the LDs is 'comprehensive' is just not true. He's basically setting out areas they both agree and making a few minor tax concessions.

I hope that Clegg doesn't go along with it, just because he wants to look like a mature politician.

The democratic system is not fair or representative. The Tories are ruthless and would pursue their own self-interest. The Lib Dems should seize this chance for PR. They may not get it again this lifetime.

cameronp's picture

A Tory-Lib Dem coalition would merely be a brief interlude before the tories inevitably called for another election on the spurious moral grounds that the country needs a government with a clear mandate to lead. Firstly, they have the finances to do this with their massive backing, and secondly, the lure of potential power is so strong for them that at this stage they will do and say anything to attain control. The myth that somehow Clegg and his team could somehow put a brake on the Tories will soon be debunked.

Tara J's picture

We need sensible thought on appropriate policies and reliable ways forward, not this running round jeering "Loser, loser", self-justified (as with all little boys) by inventing new "rules".

Nick's picture

I could not agree more on the three myths, it's an absolute statement of fact that there is winner in this election and for Mr Cameron to hang on to some absurd argument on 'morality' shows his contempt for the constitution he is meant to subscribe to; throwing away the rule book before he thinks he's started. A lot of the blame can be laid at the door or the Tories for our current position, they have constantly moaned about labours powers to implement legislation, and yet they fail to see that they allowed it to happen by being so ineffective in opposition. It's unbelivable that Cameron is now saying he is fit to goovern when he's in no better postition than Labour was before the election. He constantly taunted Brown on his weak position and now he's had his chance, the Nation decided. Cameron should have seemingly walked this election on the basis of Brown's unpopularity, the economic 'disaster', the war and many other reasons he advanced for not voting Labour. In truth he may have secured the highest vote but it isn't anywhere near enough; effectively it means the vast majority of the electorate was AGAINST him (if you want to play statistcally). A Lib lab coalition is best because they are the only two who will agree on not implementing the crazy tory cuts which will knock our prospects of keeping on track to get out of this recession as well as PR (which would knock the Tory vote into orbit), another election will allow us to vote on the effectiveness of this coalition but I concede it's probably time to bring in Milliband because he has the public appeal which unfortunately Brown (despite all his good virtues) will never have. There was no winner in this election!

Nick's picture

My last post - one or two typos's! but you get the gist! Please throw away the morality argument that the Tories should get in it's not what was constitutionally agreed before the election, you have to have rules and this one is there for a very good reason: you need one more vote over 325 to have a fighting chance of getting motions passed in a house full of 650 politicians! This a crucial time to have consensus and the best way of achieving it is by coalition but not between the tories and liberals, they will never agree on anything because they are at completely opposite poles, they won't attract! Cameron is deluded and Brown is being democratic by following the correct rules on the constitution. It was first past the post and despite all, Cameron didn't break past the winner's tape!

ToryBoy's picture

Anyone considered the fact that a Con-Lib pact might represent a permanent anti-Labour majority?

Nick's picture

Yes Tory Boy, I have contemplated that awful thought. But do remember that any marriage tween Clegg n Cameron may well be subject to a very brief honeymoon....followed by a very quick n bitter divorce! So your theory on a life long aituation where labour live in the dark shadows of a minority could very quickly change. Mind you have you thought how a deal on PR could very quickly dimminish the Tory vote at a forthcoming next election?

Isaac's picture

1. No, the Tories have not won out right. but they have:
a. Got more seats than anyone else, the only ones close to an overall majority
b. Gained 97 seats, making them only major party to have made any gains.
c. LDs on -7, L on -91. Tories may not have won, but these two certainly lost

2. A Lib-Lab coalition would be the least representative of the three choices. We will never get a Lab-Con coalition, so we have to aim for the second best, Lib-Con. Also, a Lib-Lab pact would not make an overal majority, which is what is needed. Ever heard of a minority coalition government between the two big losers? Don't be ridiculous.

3. Brown is used constitutional precedent to cling on to office, but he has no moral mandate. Ted Heath had less seats, but more votes. Gordon Brown is way behind the Conservatives on both.

4. Every situation in every country is unique. The only thing one can really use is historical precedent: the last Lib-Lab pact ended in the Winter of Discontent, a vote of no confidence in Callaghan, and in the rise of Maggie Thatcher. It trust none of you left-winger bloggers really want that, do you?

5. Firstly, I've never heard this particular 'myth' from the mouth of a Conservative spokesman. Secondly, one can only assume that they think that particular concession, as with others they would make with the Lib Dems, is balanced by the need for government. In what way would a prime minister who was never elected in the first place and has now clearly and undeniably lost the election that he has been forced to call BY LAW good for the national interest? Kick him out, get Cameron/Clegg in.That was the very obvious public message.

Attrition47's picture

No party has gained 50%+ of the popular vote since the 1931 election (which wasn't democratic either). FPTP has guaranted minority rule ever since. Mussolini needed the Acerbo law to rig elections and the Americans, Rhodesians, South Africans and 'Israelis' need/ed apartheid to get this. This begs the question of how minority rule is obtained in countries which do have democratic elections.

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