Mehdi Hasan

Mehdi Hasan’s polemical take on politics, economics and foreign affairs

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Hung parliament? Fine by us, say rating agencies

Tories wrong to fearmonger about the election result.

Earlier this week, Ken Clarke predicted panic in the financial markets -- causing a "wobble" in the pound -- if the general election failed to deliver a decisive result. "Scaremongering of the worst kind", was the rather appropriate response from the Lib Dems' Vince Cable.

Today, David Cameron has continued with his own nonsensical fearmongering about the prospects of a hung parliament and "no overall control" in Westminster in a speech to business leaders.

But here's Arnaud Mares, lead UK analyst for the credit rating agency Moody's:

A hung parliament does not in itself have direct implications for Moody's UK rating.

Mares said a hung parliament could help rather than hinder Britain's efforts to reduce its deficit if it delivers public support for spending cuts:

If you had a fiscal plan agreed by a coalition, that could actually be quite positive, because it would imply broad popular support.

Moody's is not alone here. The rival rating agency Fitch says its own outlook for the UK economy remains "stable". And Capital Economics, the consultancy firm, says that the markets have "priced in" a hung parliament now, and are calmer about the idea.

So will Cameron, Clarke and co let this go now? Or will we hear more and more nonsense from desperate Tories about the supposedly devastating financial impact of a hung parliament as 6 May approaches? I suspect we will . . .

 

2 comments

John Q. Publican's picture

Excellent news!

KeithFowler's picture

Hi again buddy. My email is kfowler@hillingdongrid.org please could you email me on it so we can discuss the election a bit. I am a Green Party man but am seriously considering voting lib dem because I feel that a hung parliament with them involved in a coalition COULD mean a change from FPP towards PR. Since our days discussing the system at A-Level, I have been convinced that a change is needed to make our country a true democracy. I am trying to educate my form class about this at school and would really appreciate knowing what your take is on this??? cheers

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