Mehdi Hasan

Mehdi Hasan’s polemical take on politics, economics and foreign affairs

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Does Cameron want war with China and Russia?

Once again, the Tory leader reveals that he's a foreign-affairs lightweight.

So tell me again, Dave, why it is that you think Britain should renew Trident?

Are we really happy to say that we'd give up our independent nuclear deterrent when we don't know what is going to happen with Iran, we can't be certain of the future in China?

China?? Does David Cameron really believe that the People's Republic of China is a threat to the United Kingdom? That the Chinese, in the midst of supplying our high-street stores with much of their clothing lines, have prepared military plans to either invade and occupy the British Isles or nuke us to smithereens from afar? And, even if they had, does he think the UK's four Trident-armed nuclear submarines would protect his "big society" from the People's Liberation Army, backed up by 400 Chinese nuclear warheads? It'd be like the Na'vi versus the humans in Avatar - only without a happy ending for the Na'vi.

Random movie references aside, I do, however, have a serious point to make. Cameron is not qualified to be prime minister. The self-professed "heir to Blair", like Tony Blair before him, edges towards Downing Street with little knowledge of the world beyond the white cliffs of Dover. He is, as President Obama is alleged to have remarked, a "lightweight". Labour strategists have smiles on their faces. The Foreign Secretary David Miliband was quick to say that the Leader of the Opposition had issued "an insult to a fellow permanent member of the UN security council and to a country with whom we have just announced a close strategic relationship," adding: "David Cameron should withdraw this slur now."

Brown is fond of remarking that this is no time for novices. Given the state of the economy, and the "fragile recovery", he argues, we have to stick with an experienced leader who can handle crises and has proven judgement. The same applies on the international stage, where uncertainties, threats and conflicts abound.

Can we trust Cameron to handle Britain's foreign policy? He might do more damage than Blair ever did.

This, after all, is not his first gaffe. Last night, he suggested nuclear confrontation with China. In 2008, he implied that Britain, via Nato, would go to war with Russia over Georgia. As I wrote in my column in the magazine, back in January:

Nothing has better illustrated Cameron's inexperience and lack of judgement than his intervention in the South Ossetia conflict in 2008, when he rushed to Tbilisi to declare his support for embattled Georgia, which, he wrongly claimed, had been "illegally invaded" by Russia. However, as the former Tory foreign secretary Malcolm Rifkind pointed out at the time, "Britain, France and Germany are not going to go to war with Russia over South Ossetia", adding that it was "totally unconvincing" to claim that the conflict wouldn't have happened had Georgia been in Nato.

As my colleague James Macintyre and I have long argued, Cameron has been given a pass by the press. But, I'd add, nowhere has that lack of scrutiny been more evident than on the Tories' foreign policy - both in Europe and beyond. Let's see if that changes next week, in the "foreign affairs" leaders' debate on Sky News.

32 comments

Sam's picture

More preaching to the converted.

08001's picture

MEEEEEHDIIII!!!

Nice of you to join us. Perhaps you should have posted a link to the actual EU fact finding report which is online instead of an article BY you, with some fairly selective excerpts. I have read the entire EU report. I would suggest you go and do the same.

I notice you edited Colin Powell's comments and used them out of context the same way Russian channels did. Of course if Colin Powell says something it must be true - as we know from Iraq!!

The only concession that Tagliavini gives is that the Russians had the right to intervene IF their peacekeepers were attacked. It does not say that they were. In fact according to the Georgian side an officer was killed by Russian 'peacekeepers' right after ordering his troops not to fire on them. Although Russia's role as a peacekeeper in Georgia has been laughable since the Russian air force, Russian special forces and mercenaries helped bomb, murder or drive out the Georgian population of Abkhazia in the early 90s, and after the South Ossetian govt were replaced by Russian FSB, who then preceded to shell Georgian villages.

The EU report does say Russia's invasion of Georgia was illegal. Give it a rest. You accuse people of seeing reds under the bed, but you could watch Putin shoot a Chechen or Georgian child in the face and still find a way to justify it.

08001's picture

I should perhaps add that will also not be voting for Mr. Cameron. A lot of style - can't see much content.

vanrisszcu's picture

I can assure you that I am not a Putin fan. We don't live in a black-and-white world. Just because I don't back Georgia, and don't want to go to war with Russia, doesn't mean I "support" Russia or Putin's unpleasant government.

Goldfish's picture

China has a clear 'no first strike, minimum deterrent' nuclear weapons policy. It neither has the military means nor the motive to attack the UK with a nuclear strike. Mehdi is quite right, for Cameron to raise this in public debate raises serious questions as to his suitability for office. It was a Palin-esque brain fart, for which he should apologise. As for those commmentators who seem to want to believe in the yellow peril (sigh), some facts for you. China hasn't been in a military conflict in over 30 years. Contrast this to the UK, whose troops have seen 'hot' action in conflicts across 3 continents in that time.

08001's picture

Noone wants a war with Russia. If anyone did the brutal assault on Georgia would have been a more than adequate excuse.

And if someone was to argue that Georgia got a well deserved lesson in power politics just like Iraq did, and Iran might soon, then I would simply respectfully disagree.

What is revolting to me however is the way in which the same numerous New Statesman and Guardian columnists who have shown such unremitting moral outrage over Iraq, were the same people jeering and sniggering when Putin sent the 58th army and murderous militia into Georgian towns and villages. After all those collaborators were only getting what was coming to them.

People like Kate Hudson of CND weren't even content with that. They actively helped sell Putin's war in Georgia.

Why in the world would you still be trying to claim Russia's actions were in any way legitimate?

Seanagain's picture

It always makes me smile to read the blog postings on articles about foreign affairs to see the justifications given by frightened little men for developing newer and bigger nuclear weapons.

No-one is to be trusted, everyone is the enemy, and we must have these weapons at all costs. They provide us with the ultimate insurance policy which will protect us against all the vague uncertainties that the future holds. So we are told.

Unfortunately, here in the real world, there is no such thing as a risk-free future. Uncertainty is part of life and we just have to live with it. The sensible approach is to use our resources to deal with the known threats, rather than vague uncertainties.

Nuclear weapons didn't stop 9/11 or the Falklands War. It's hard to see how their use could do anything but make any international crisis worse.

Every penny we spend on nuclear weapons is a penny less to spend on military forces and equipment to deal with current threats such as fundamentalism and piracy. At a time when public spending faces deep cuts, these must be the priority for defence spending.

Nuclear weapons may provide a comfort blanket for an increasingly small, insecure, section of the public, but for those of us who are not scared of the future they are an irrelevant waste of taxpayers money.

ACMJ's picture

It actually shows that Dave is actually a sharp as a dodo! As Alex Salmond of the SNP pointed out , that it was a gaff by the tory leader , who actually meant North Korea . That being the case in what way would David Cameron be different to Bush Junior ? The answer is he wouldn't . If Cameron or his ill advised researchers were trying to suggest that China is as much of a threat as Iran in the "axis of Evil" ,it ill leave KimJong IL of North Korea in laughing his head off!
David Cameron will be a laughing stock in the world if he makes gaffs like that if he were ever to be elected as PM .
It shows yet again that Cameron is not ready to take over the reigns , and needs some knowledgeable people on hi s side , rather than the dim wit con men advising him just now.
Little wonder then , just why Barak Obama politely regards David Cameron to be a political light weight .

beak's picture

You real are journalistic lightweight Medhi!

As for ACMJ "Barak Obama politely regards David Cameron to be a political light weight ."

I assume this is based on a story on here a few months ago that had no evidence what so ever to back it up? Thought so.

Tommy's picture

This thing called Cameron is an unprincipled liar without integrity or honesty: he has reneged on so many things I.E Referendum on the EU, a referendum on Human rights, and now child benefits and what next will it be ?

john kafka's picture

Fist, post my comment that I made on your article about Georgia you and Iraq.

Then, do you really believe that Russia's invasion to Georgia is not illegal?

worried about the media's skills's picture

Clearly if Cameron is a lightweight in the writer's eyes then the writer is a featherweight. No threat from China and Iran? No worries about Russian posturing, Georgia or the fact they fly military aircraft into our airspace? Was it really unreasonable for us to expect Russia to think twice about attacking Georgia had it been in NATO and do you think that is was entirely justified that Russia invaded Georgia in the first place? Please do the slightest bit of research otherwise I could go to the pub for better-informed views...

Raoul Duke's picture

100% agree with this article. As soon as Cameron blurted out his unprofessional aggressive slip I held my head in my hands, "he's not even prime minister yet and he's already threatoning to nuke China!"

Daniele1's picture

Medhi and Goldfish hava got it right.
The people out there who think that Britain led by Cameron could sort out China, Russia and Iran with nuclear threat live in cuckoo land .
It would be like farting on grizly bears hoping that would teach them a lesson. Ridiculous!

Joe99's picture

Why did you choose to compare the number of Chinese nuclear warheads to the number of UK SSBN submarines? Would the better comparison not be to our number of warheads (185).

The quote that you present "we can't be certain of the future in China" seems to me to be self evident.

Joe99's picture

Why did you choose to compare the number of Chinese nuclear warheads to the number of UK SSBN submarines? Would the better comparison not be to our number of warheads (185).

The quote that you present "we can't be certain of the future in China" seems to me to be self evident.

edgygil1's picture

...30years first-hand experiences with Chinese culture convinces me that the present global manifestations by China, as did the USA in it's Empire heyday, indicates precisely to a potential military confrontation with the resource competing Western Nations.

Jeff's picture

@Mark
"Does China pose a threat? Yes. A threat to democracy."
Mark, remind me to call on you to volunteer in a future war against China. The liberal brigades are always long on dramatic flair and short on action. As soon as the shooting starts, we can always count on the liberals to immediately stop running their mouths and start making haste for the shelters.

FLARE's picture

wonder how war mongers like cameron finds time out of his busy schedule of working on how to divide up iraqi oil; and leech afghan natural resources, to come up with fairy tales about china invading britain? oh wait, i get it. without the chinese threat, they wouldnt be able to boost their military spending. if military spending doesnt go up then they have no troops to invade countries and steal their natural resources, and cameron wont get to fill his pockets.

Reginald-Fah-fah's picture

Bloody marvellous! the Great English Gentleman David Cameron won tonights leader's debate, it was like bring back fox hunting with a group of dogs.

Hong Kong!, the desperate Gordon Brown was trying to frighten the 'yellow belly voters' to vote for Labour. Yellow bellies get voting! Gordon Brown's little joke: "Them two remind me of my two children fighting over bathtime." He also knew the different between a woman and a man.!

Bang on! Nick Clegg done the leg work again but no one really understands what he stands for. One has to question himself whether he understands what he stands for?

Mark's picture

Does China pose a threat? Yes. A threat to democracy. It gives Iran a free will to go and build nuclear bombs... it has the highest capital punishment death rate in the world. It has vowed to take back Taiwan by 2020, even if that means by force. Lets just remember that its military spending has been increasing by ~15% each year for the last 5 years... even 5 years ago, it had the largest standing armed forces in the world. The rate at which this secretive, undemocratic and dangerous growing power is building up its military is worrying

AdamR's picture

Yeah, ok Mehdi. Cameron was the big loser.

Hardly. Whilst it may suit Labour hacks like yourself to divert the attention from the horrible, almost robotic performance of your own dear leader, it won't wash. Clegg was the big winner by virtue of the fact that he managed to actually get on a platform with Brown and Cameron, but mainly that he played on the anti-politics vote, which is probably the biggest one at this election, given all that has happened.

Interestingly, the YouGov poll after the debate asked two questions. Firstly, it asked respondents to put aside their political allegiance and rate the debate winner. Unsurprisingly, Clegg won, Cam second, Brown third. Then, it asked who would make the best PM. Cameron got 39%, Brown 26% and Clegg 22%. On that front, the Tories dont have to be that worried after last night.

Oh, and one final thought on foreign policy. It was Labour that used dodgy evidence to justify Iraq, and then didn't supply troops with the proper equipment. It was a Labour foreign secretary (David Milibanana) who has been condemned on various trips around the world for lecturing the country he visits (India particularly). It is also Labour that is cutting the diplomatic service and the FCO, a vital part of Britain's presence in the world.
You really have no right to attack anyone over foreign policy, even if I don't agree with all that Cameron said last night.

Dean1's picture

I agree with many of your comments, but I think you are being naive about China. Apart from the Taiwan issue, the regime itself is unstable and insecure. Everyone sees the strong performance of the Chinese economy as a strength, but the truth is that the Communist Party has had to accept a quasi-capitalist economy to avoid being overthrown. The problem is that the more capitalist the economy, and Chinese society, become, the harder it is for the Communist Party to retain its monopoly of political power. Unstable dictatorships tend to be a threat to world peace, so I don't think Cameron was too far off the mark. Successive US administrations, both Democrat and Republican, have planned against the possibility of having to deal with a more aggressive China in future.

ACMJ's picture

"Are we really happy to say that we'd give up our independent nuclear deterrent when we don't know what is going to happen with Iran, we can't be certain of the future in China?"
It appears that I have been corrected !In fact David Cameron is indeed well informed .
There appears to be a madman and Chairman Mao apostle eagerly awaiting to take over with the "uncertainty in China" looming over our heads .
Perhaps David Cameron has just awoken Britain to the fact that like Iran , China also has capability of making nuclear weapons? It must be ! He mentions Iran before China . Indeed the Great David Cameron appears to have a Great insight in Chinese politics to regard China as a greater threat to world security than , North Korea (as North Korea doesn't even get a mention, from Cameron).
Cameron sounds to be a truly worthy "heavy weight" of great proportions who regards kim Jong IL not worthy as a mention of a threat .
Perhaps Obama was wrong and now regards Cameron as a true world "heavy weight"?

Simon's picture

If China wanted to nuke Britain they would have done so way back in 1960 when they first had the bomb and were actually hostile towards the west. Wht Cameron really meant to say was North Korea being a threat but for some reason his racially prejudiced mind cross wired believing that the 2 oriental communist states were the same country.

ACMJ's picture

Re:who would make the best PM. Cameron got 39%, Brown 26% and Clegg 22%. On that front, the Tories dont have to be that worried after last night.
I find the above statement quite interesting as the Sunday Times' interpretation of the same poll showed that Gordon Brown was 36% David Cameron 29% and Nick Clegg 21%.
And as the Times is supporting David Cameron(being owned by Rupert Murdoch) , I find it most surprising that on the question of who was the most Prime ministerial would result in Gordon Brown having the lead , after the televised debate .

08001's picture

Amazing!!!

The Iraq War was illegal, but Russia sending tanks into an independent country, bombing residential areas all across Georgia, and engaging in ethnic cleansing that would make Milosevic blush, on the pretext of a 'genocide' that existed purely on Russian television, with images of wounded or dying Georgians to help sell it, should not be called 'an illegal invasion'.

I don't know about Cameron, but Mehdi Hasan just proved himself to be a foreign affairs dunce. Still no harm in regurgitating Putin's vile propaganda campaign if it helps you score political points at home.

Johnny's picture

And this is the guy pleading at Chongqing University for China to step up bargos with Zimbabwe.. hilarious

Johnny's picture

embargos*

08002's picture

08001...your comment is fantasy. Russia were responding, disproportionately, to an aggressive act by Georgia. The BBC reported this a few weeks after the event. You are the one who is misinformed, however yours is from plain ignorance.

08001's picture

Plain ignorance?? The BBC reported the Russian version of events. That is what journalists do. Report both sides of the story. That doesn't mean it was true. The Russian govt and media were also lying - A LOT.

The claim that Georgia launched a surprise genocidal attack on Tskinvali would have been more convincing had the Russian media not televised the evacuation of the town 4 days earlier. Meanwhile villages like Tamarasheni under the control of Georgian peacekeepers were being reduced to rubble by shelling from separatists under the direct command of Russian FSB. 3 Georgian peacekeepers along with civilians and police were killed prior to Georgian forces advancing through Tskinvali to reach these villages which were under attack. Meanwhile irregulars along with the 58th army were moving through the Roki tunnel which was full in the middle of the night in what Russia later claimed was a 'peacekeeping rotation'.

Those Georgian villages are now gone. As gone as Lidice along with people who lived there for generations. The Mayor of Moscow paid for apartments to be built on top of those villages and on top of the graves of their parents, grandparents and great grandparents.
Disproportionate?? That is one word for it.

vanrisszcu's picture

"08001" - "foreign affairs dunce"? Moi? Recycling Russian propaganda? Nope. Just citing the EU's Independent International Fact-Finding Mission on the Conflict in Georgia. See:
http://www.newstatesman.com/blogs/mehdi-hasan/2010/02/macshane-georgia-r...

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