David Davis: right on torture, wrong on climate change
Have you read his denialist nonsense in the Independent?
By Mehdi Hasan Published 02 December 2009 17:13
I'm a big fan of David Davis on civil liberties and human rights issues, especially his bold stance in opposition to torture and our alleged complicity in barbaric practices.
But on climate change, he is hopelessly wrong. His cornucopia of distortions, exaggerations, smears and half-truths in the Independent today makes for a depressing read.
I don't have time to fisk every line -- and, believe me, every line is worth fisking! -- but I will take issue with two of his points:
1)
The row about whether global warming exists gets even more virulent. The case is not helped by the fact that the planet appears to have been cooling, not warming, in the last decade.
Really? Who to believe? Davis, with his "BSc Joint Hons molecular science/computer science" degree, or the globally renowned, peer-reviewed climate scientists at the Met Office Hadley Centre? From a press release in December 2008:
The ten warmest years on record have occurred since 1997. Global temperatures for 2000-2008 now stand almost 0.2°C warmer than the average for the decade 1990-1999.
Dr Peter Stott of the Met Office says our actions are making the difference: "Human influence, particularly emission of greenhouse gases, has greatly increased the chance of having such warm years. Comparing observations with the expected response to man-made and natural drivers of climate change it is shown that global temperature is now over 0.7°C warmer than if humans were not altering the climate."
2)
Last week, the row was fuelled after a hacker revealed emails between the world's leading climate scientists that seemed to show them conspiring to rig the figures to support their theories. So it is unsurprising that more than half the public no longer believe in global warming.
Davis gets his timeline wrong. Polls showing public scepticism on the climate change issue preceded and predated the so-called Climategate row and the release of the University of East Anglia emails. The reason "more than half the public" no longer believe in global warming is because right-wing free marketeers like Davis, lacking in scientific credentials, have distorted the arguments and undermined the evidence.
The really scary point is this: had David Davis beaten David Cameron in 2005 and become Tory leader, Britain would now be on the verge of electing the only climate-change-denying leader in the G7. One for Dominic Sandbrook's What If . . . columns, eh?
By the way, before all the deniers and "sceptics" crawl out from under their cold, non-warming rocks to object to the evidence cited in this post and scream "cover-up", let me point you in the direction of a story in the Telegraph showing how climate-change sceptics get things wrong, too.
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12 comments
So much for the 'finite planet' / steady state economy hypotheses (Dennis Meadows, Herman Daly, Club of Rome, etc) and all brands of reactionary neo-Malthusianism dating from the 1970s. And thank God (or whoever) for the Internet!
Have you seen the source code for that data? I have never seen something that corrupted. You could feed lottery numbers into those programs and it would come out with the same results. The inbuilt bias in it is unbelievable.
That has almost single-handedly changed me from a believer to a sceptic. I don't trust what anyone from any-side is saying now, only thing I'm sure of is that I've read childrens fantasy fiction books that will give you a better idea of future climate than the models build on that code.
the peer-review process that you mention was corruptted by these same scientsts....
Educate yourself on the issue, and you might write some better articles...
The debate is over over. There is a scientific consensus that the globe is warming. The sky is falling. All the usual dross.
Let's try some facts:
The CRU scientists and others DID 'fudge' (their word, not mine) the data to meet their expectations. Whilst we were being led to believe that top scientists were feeding accurate data into a supercomputer and verifying and reproducing the results, it was actually a bunch of retards making up 'adjusted' data on spreadsheets and fortran code that they had completely lost control of.
They then had their work 'peer reviewed' by their cronies, from within their own believers' circle.
They embarked on a (successful) campaign to besmirch the reputations of eminent scientists and pressured at least one journal editor into sacking a very good scientist, who happened to want to see their results reproduced (as is the scientific method).
They conspired to withhold data that other scientists needed in order to establish that the obtained results were replicable (replication being a requirement for a theory to become proven). Even to the point where they were desperately scratching around to find a way out of complying with freedom of information laws. In their flap they were asking each other to delete emails that related to IPCC work that could lead to them being found out.
They had a good old moan about how it was annoying that the planet had not obeyed their models and warmed as expected - it had cooled. What did they expect? They knew the data was fudged, because they said so in their programming logs. I think their predictions were more of a wish than anything based in scientific reality. It was annoying to them because they had been busy telling the world's press and anyone else who would listen that the globe was experiencing 'unprecedented warming'.
Why were they so desperate to withhold the data used in their 'models'? Because it was cobbled together in such a mess that their own programmer couldn't make any sense of it and if they had released it (as any scientist with any talent would have done) they would have been a laughing stock - as they are currently.
I like a laugh as much as the next man and this kindergarten science at Hadley would normally have me in stitches. Unfortunately it's a bit more serious than that.
Our leaders are meeting at Copenhagen and suggesting that 5% of GDP be stolen from each country to address a problem that only exists in the minds of these conniving simpletons.
By the way Mehdi, I love that you have dragged the 'climate change denier' phrase out of your toybox to label anyone who wants a definitive 'scientific' answer to all of this as being on a par with some SS pr*ck from Auchwitz.
It's not nice to be misled or lied to as the poor unfortunates at Auchwitz found when the logo above the main gate 'Work Makes You Free' turned out not to be completely true - but somewhat 'fudged'.
Mehdi, I think you have it wrong this time. There has not only been fraud amongst some of the most prominant climate scientists (East Anglia and the hoaxed hockey stick graph) but there is conflicting evidence from other scientists. Science and consensus shouldn't go hand in hand.
A German team of scientists earlier this year did the largest ever survey of the Arctic using a fixed wing aircraft and sonar and found the ice to be much thicker than had been previously reported.
The ice in the Antarctic is also up by 43% (source the National Snow and Ice Data Centre, University of Colorado) Link: http://tinyurl.com/iceup43-nsidc
The ozone hole has just been pulled out of the hat as a desperate attempt to explain the cooling of the Antarctic because the scientists couldn't keep that much ice secret much longer.
The hockey stick fraud was an attempt to hide the medevil warming period when the planet was much warmer than today with negligable sea level rises.
The average temperature of the Antarctic is -50 degrees C. There is the temperature is going to go up 50 degrees C and so no way that ice will melt. Sea ice melting doesn't raise the sea level. Warm periods
in mans history have always been times of plenty not times of disaster.
I forgot to mention the climate scientist leader of greenpeace was also exposed for his scaremongering and had to eat his words. Check out this short video. Its quite an insight. http://eclipptv.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=6933
Again this use of the word 'Deniers' to try and ridicule people with a different opinion on Climate change. Climate change science has been caught in the act, with it's trousers round it's ankles and is desperately trying to crawl it's way out of this sordid mess of lies and propaganda. Well it couldn't have happened at a better time. At least one of the science scumbags had a spark of guilt to release these e-mails to the public.
Move on, its over....
Out come the loonies!
@Peter, you said pretty much what I wanted to say, I can only add this extract from the log of the person at the CRU running their databases, this raises serious questions about the value of the CRUs input to any rational scientific understanding of the reasons for climate change:
"This document has the title "HARRY_READ_ME.txt." You can easily find it online. just google it.
The 274 page long file describes the efforts of a climatologist/programmer at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia to update a huge statistical database (11,000 files) of important climate data between 2006 and 2009.
Th programmer is managing data that are the foundation of the study of climate change -- recordings from hundreds of weather stations around the world of temperature and precipitation measurements from 1901 to 2006, sun/cloud computer simulations, and the like.
These data are the core of climate science.
As you read the programmer's comments below, remember, this is only a fraction of what he says.
- "But what are all those monthly files? DON'T KNOW, UNDOCUMENTED. Wherever I look, there are data files, no info about what they are other than their names. And that's useless ..." (Page 17)
- "It's botch after botch after botch." (18)
- "The biggest immediate problem was the loss of an hour's edits to the program, when the network died ... no explanation from anyone, I hope it's not a return to last year's troubles ... This surely is the worst project I've ever attempted. Eeeek." (31)
- "Oh, GOD, if I could start this project again and actually argue the case for junking the inherited program suite." (37)
- "... this should all have been rewritten from scratch a year ago!" (45)
- "Am I the first person to attempt to get the CRU databases in working order?!!" (47)
- "As far as I can see, this renders the (weather) station counts totally meaningless." (57)
- "COBAR AIRPORT AWS (data from an Australian weather station) cannot start in 1962, it didn't open until 1993!" (71)
- "What the hell is supposed to happen here? Oh yeah -- there is no 'supposed,' I can make it up. So I have : - )" (98)
- "You can't imagine what this has cost me -- to actually allow the operator to assign false WMO (World Meteorological Organization) codes!! But what else is there in such situations? Especially when dealing with a 'Master' database of dubious provenance ..." (98)
- "So with a somewhat cynical shrug, I added the nuclear option -- to match every WMO possible, and turn the rest into new stations ... In other words what CRU usually do. It will allow bad databases to pass unnoticed, and good databases to become bad ..." (98-9)
- "OH F--- THIS. It's Sunday evening, I've worked all weekend, and just when I thought it was done, I'm hitting yet another problem that's based on the hopeless state of our databases." (241).
- "This whole project is SUCH A MESS ..." (266)
And based on stuff like this, we 'deniers' are to denigrated and the economy wrecked to 'save' the planet!
Again this use of the word 'Deniers' to try and ridicule people with a different opinion on Climate change. Climate change science has been caught in the act, with it's trousers round it's ankles and is desperately trying to crawl it's way out of this sordid mess of lies and propaganda. Well it couldn't have happened at a better time. At least one of the science scumbags had a spark of guilt to release these e-mails to the public
Really? Who to believe? Mehdi Hasan with his PPE from Oxford, or David Davis, with his "BSc Joint Hons molecular science/computer science" degree - both of which agree with a different set of scientists.
Only last week David Davis said on Question Time that he was 80/20 in BELIEVING that man made global warming exists.
So, of the two of you, only one claims to 'know the undeniable facts' about anthropomorphic Global Warming.
Funny how you aren't so inclined to believe the scientists when it comes to the improbability of God's existence.