Positive energy

The terrifying prospect of a post-oil future: no more ready meals, traffic jams or lonely nights in

We held an ‘internal conference’ recently on the theme of climate change. These internal conferences give us an opportunity to meet together for three or four days a couple of times a year to consider matters of importance that face us.

During this most recent conference, it felt like the scale and urgency of the climate change crisis really landed within the community. In particular, a film of George Monbiot’s Schumacher Lecture based around his book, Heat: How to Stop the Planet Boiling, had an electrifying effect. True to the spirit of this place, the predominant mood was one of excitement at the scale of the challenge rather than depression.

Anyway, I was asked to give a presentation on the likely impacts of climate change for the work and operating methods of the community. I began by describing the various ways in which we as a society have developed structures – for the provision of food, clothing, building materials, in fact just about anything you can think of – that are entirely dependent on the availability of cheap energy. Fine, except that the age of cheap energy is ending before our eyes, caught between the rock of climate change and hard place of Peak Oil.

Then, keeping a straight face with some effort, I provided a stern introduction to the images I proposed to show to illustrate the world that I suggested we are about to move into. "Scramble for the remaining oil... resource wars... starvation... armed gangs purloining food at the barrel of a gun..."

Some of the images I would show, I suggested, were so disturbing that those of a nervous disposition might choose to avert their eyes. But I defiantly declared myself unapologetic about being the bearer of truths that might be hard to hear.

What followed was a slide-show of happy people working and playing together in community. "We will have no choice but to learn to live without chemically produced food shipped in from the other side of the world" – images of people working in our food gardens. "No more processed, ready-made meals" – pictures of community members happily working in our kitchens. "No more coal-fired power stations" – shots of our wind turbines and solar panels.

"I am sorry, but we are going to have to learn to survive without traffic jams" – photos of folk cycling and working in the myriad small-scale enterprises we have around the community. "No more pouring our shit out into the sea" – an image of our Living Machine biological waste treatment plant. "No more lonely nights in front of the television!" – shots of people here singing, dancing and creating theatre.

The talk had its desired effect as we opened to the possibility that a lower carbon lifestyle might just have its upsides.

Does this mean that the transition before us will be pain-free? Of course not. The point is that it is still very much within our hands whether that transition will be seeped in blood and suffering or will involve the restructuring of society along simpler, more decentralised, equitable and convivial lines.

There are now countless community initiatives around the country that are preparing themselves for life post-cheap energy. I am part of a team putting on an international conference to be held here next Easter that will showcase many of these. It is called: Positive Energy: Creative Community Responses to Peak Oil and Climate Change.

One of the presenters at that conference, Richard Heinberg, has this to say about the times that lie before us:

"Let us accept the current challenge – the next great energy transition – as an opportunity to re-imagine human culture from the ground up, using our intelligence and our passion for the welfare of coming generations and for the integrity of nature’s web as our primary guides."

12 comments

davef's picture

A very encouraging spirit-raising piece. Perhaps weaning people off the drug of Modern Life is possible. I'm sure the alternative is more exciting and more humane.

Douglas Chalmers's picture

Quote: "Let us accept the current challenge – the next great energy transition – as an opportunity ......Does this mean that the transition before us will be pain-free ......the age of cheap energy is ending before our eyes, caught between the rock of climate change and hard place of Peak Oil...."

Actually, the real energy cost problem is already presently caused by "blood and suffering" and the floor price for crude oil has effectively doubled. That could quickly double again if there is conflict around the Straits of Hormuz.

What has that to do with a pleasant future lifestyle in Britain? Well, everything, because Britain has already tied itself to serving Saudi Arabia through its armaments factories. Thus a "decentralised" society or even a "more equitable" one is a fantasy.

We are all more dependent on each others' welfare around the globe than ever before. It is only when we realise that mutual co-operation and actively helping each other will produce better results than imperialist-colonialist exploitation that things will ever change for the better.

That "transition" has now become all the more urgent with the acceleration of global warming and climate change. Finding ways of re-ordering the global financial system so that such co-operation is rewarded is the new challenge. The more basic minds still need their incentives to participate effectively.

A "a lower carbon lifestyle" definitely has its upsides but they have to be factored into the "transition" from the kind of economy we have at present. That will take some doing as long as we adhere to a "me first" methodology and the selfish aquisition of material wealth.

Cathal Copeland's picture

I am a peak oil and climate change convert myself but I think that Jonathan Dawson is overly optimistic about the possibility of a smooth transition to a post-carbon society. Jonathan writes that ‘a post-carbon society might have its upsides’, and conjures up images of people ‘singing, dancing and creating theatre’ or ‘happily working in our kitchens’ or of ‘happy people working and playing together in community’.

But Jonathan is writing about people who have, of their own free will, opted for simplicity – something like life in an agricultural kibbutz using ox-drawn carts rather than tractors, or life in a monastery for monks of both sexes. However, only a minute proportion of the general population is attracted by the simple life – whatever Jonathan may say about ‘countless community initiatives’.

For the vast majority such activities as ‘working in kitchens’ will remain a low-status occupation bordering on drudgery, while ‘creating theatre’ is not everybody’s cup of tea. And HNBWII (=Human nature being what it is), men will continue to seek money and high-status jobs -- if only because women seek men with money and high-status jobs: no romance, no finance. Community life as envisaged by Jonathan offers only low status opportunities. It is therefore unpopular, especially for young males with strong sexual drives. So I reckon that most people – far from adapting to changing circumstances and opting for a lifestyle of voluntary simplicity – will just go for broke and max out on what is left of the earth’s fossil fuel deposits. Perhaps it is better to prepare for the worst than to foster illusions as to the malleability of human nature.

loonygopher's picture

Cathal Copeland shows we have hard work ahead to realize the good news from Jonathan Dawson. Perhaps it may not be too hard, though, to persuade testosterone-crazed Cherubino from gallantly marching off to battle towards joyfully making like a Bonobo. I speak from experiencing the release I exercised on quitting a boys' military school for the rigors of an American co-ed highschool. After a year my parents stuffed me in what they hoped might prove a more demanding environment , but I was permanently "damaged".

Peter Scheltus's picture

Dear Jonathan, Thank you for the horrible truth of needing to learn to live without traffic jams. Just these days I was contemplating hanging a canoe to the side of our house to survive Greenland sliding into the sea. Having alarmbells around the house in the event of a sudden rise of waterlevel. We want still to be able to visit our (floating) gardens of eden? Love from Ekosense, Peter Scheltus

lc0644's picture

Very naive piece. Conversion to a subsistence agrarian lifestyle is not possible with the huge population on this planet. Oil is the fundamental support of our entire economy.

lewisashgrove's picture

If climate change postpones the concept of people creating their own theatre, how acn it be bad. Why do green campaigners think that anyone, let alone everyone, would want such a lifestyle - fascists.

jonathandawson's picture

A comment in reply to Cathal Copeland. You may be right, Cathal, that the 'simple life' may hold few attractions to most people. However, I am not convinced that this will always be the case. Ever spoken to folk who have been caught up in crises and 'catastrophes' like the recent floods or the great power-cuts in the eastern United States for example? Something I hear time and again from folk who have is how great it was to have to cooperate, pull together, get to know neighbours, slow down to the pace that was permitted by whatever the breakdown in question was.

The truth is, none of us knows how the coming crises will play out. However, as energy becomes scarcer and our machines becomes ever more expensive to operate, we will have no choice but greater cooperation with others and more hard work - in, for example, food production - as the global supply lines break down. (Richard Heinberg, for example, estimates that the US will need 50 million farmers if it is to be able to feed itself after oil price rises bring the food economy back home.)

I refuse to believe that all these things necessarily involve a reduction in the quality of life. This will be especially true if we can shift our political structures to match the more decentralised and localised world that we are moving into.

I recommend you watch the movie 'Power of Community: How Cuba Survived Peak Oil' to get a flavour of how the transition might just play out.

Jonathan

filip's picture

Wow! A lot to think about, especially with the comments. However folks, change is a comin! I prefer Andrew's view to Ico644.

ToddisGod's picture

Give me telly any day

gnuneo's picture

thank you for this good energy Jonathan, it made a fantastic change from the doom-and-gloom mongers, and was spot on the button!

JohnChwth's picture

An excelelnt Blog article. There is hope for the future after all: "The terrifying prospect of a post-oil future: no more ready meals, traffic jams or lonely nights in front of television."

We might start behaving as "families and communities" should.

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