Gavin Kelly

Economics, politics and the reality of the 'squeezed middle'

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The onslaught against working families continues

The government's response to youth unemployment will squeeze the "squeezed middle" even further.

If today's report proves correct then tomorrow Nick Clegg will announce a further blow for low-to-middle income families in order to pay for a new programme for the young unemployed.

Let's start with the better, latter, half of that sentence. The new programme will, according to insiders, walk and talk like Labour's "Future Jobs Fund", which offered incentives to employers to take on 18-24 year olds who had been out of work for more than 6 months. In case it has passed you by, this is the very programme that David Cameron likes to mock as being profligate and ineffective. Hence the new coalition version of it will under no circumstances be called by the same name (no doubt some Whitehall wag would have proposed the moniker "the fund for future jobs" -- but I'm guessing coalition ministers will have screened that out).

We'll find out tomorrow what the scheme looks like but if, as seems likely, the coalition has decided to swallow its ideological opposition to wage subsidies going to firms in order to encourage them to take on the young unemployed, then that is to be welcomed -- though it is scandalous that it's taken youth unemployment to reach 1 million to bring this about.

Now let's turn to how the nastier element of tomorrow's promised announcement: how it is to be paid for. Assuming the FT hasn't got it wrong, then the money will be found by the decision not to uprate tax-credits in line with inflation. Which is odd, iniquitous, and revealing all at the same time.

 

It's a bit odd because the Treasury has already banked the savings from freezing the working tax credit for the next three years. Which leaves the other big area of spending: child tax-credit. But here the coalition has sought to burnish their progressive credentials by announcing that they will over index the child element for the next few years (in an attempt to demonstrate some commitment to the child poverty target). Doubtless HM Treasury will have some wheeze up its sleeve for changing the indexing system for this child tax-credits - perhaps by uprating in line with earnings for this year, not inflation. But if this is the case they will face the charge they have broken with the spirit of the key spending commitment they have made on helping families with low-income children.

It's iniquitous because this will hit precisely those families who have already been on the end of the most severe squeeze of their lives. This April they already saw a major hit to support for childcare paid out via the tax credit system. This, along with other changes to tax-credits, mean that a single parent on £28k with two kids is losing £1,300 this year; or a couple with two kids on a joint income in the high £30ks is losing £2800 this year. And these cuts are a mere warm up for more than £1bn of further reductions to tax-credits that have already been announced and will commence in April 2012 - all of them targeted at the same families.

And let's not forget yesterday's news that median wages have plummeted 3.5% in real terms this year, far more for the low paid. So families whose wages are falling at a rapid rate, who have already been severely hit by April's budget cuts, and will be made poorer still in April 2012, are about to be told that they are first in line to take a cut to pay for a new programme.

Which is why this decision is also revealing. It demonstrates very clearly the knee-jerk response of ministers when pressed to find resources for a new funding pressure: take it from families getting tax-credits.

To be clear, I'm all for more action to deal with youth unemployment -- indeed, I suspect that I'd want something more ambitious than what is likely to be announced tomorrow. And that, of course, has got to be paid for. But not by low-to-middle income families.

It's not as if there are no alternatives. Labour will pursue their line that this should be funded through a tax on bankers' bonuses - and for all its well rehearsed feel, this will still strike a chord with many. But if the coalition didn't want to turn to the City there are other principled alternatives. The £7bn-£8bn spent on higher rate pension tax relief? Or stopping affluent pensioners receiving winter fuel allowance?

If this goes ahead, then don't let anyone say there was no alternative. Youth unemployment could be tackled without a further unnecessary squeeze on low-to-middle income Britain.

 

44 comments

Roy's picture

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Luddite's picture

matthew fox: I was only taking the piss.... 1%.. you can say what you please.. I don't give a fuck..

"When will he learn" ...... learn!! what matthew? .... learn fucking what? Depend on no one.. stand on your own feet.. honer your mother and father and put your family first... I think i have learnt the most important lessons in life..

Luddite's picture

Ian: 45%. That's the percentage of your council tax that goes into pension provision for our privileged public sector.

Fraziel1: If the appalling inequality in pension provision is not addressed.. millions will retire into "grinding poverty" .... As we can no longer borrow and spent our way out of this injustice, the money we do have must be spent fairly, now what's wrong with fairness and equality, or are some more equal than others.

matthew fox: You'd like it around here we have lots of ducks!!
1%.. I'm not a conservative, i don't even vote... but i do pay tax lots of tax... I don't even hate the public-sector, but what i do want is 'value for money' and my taxes well spent and invested wisely.. is that a lot to ask..

Scotty: Agree with everything you said. But i will also add. The greatest economic crime committed by the previous discredited Labour government was it's destruction of vocational eduction, particularly in regard to engineering. No one was allowed to be an engineer, all had to be social workers and psychotherapies...etc etc etc... you know the type of jobs.. they are always found in the public-sector...

matthew fox's picture

Now now Luddite, swearing again.

What on earth in honer? Come on Luddite, is that like Bufoon?

Your a bigger clown the Coco.

You can't stand, because as usual, you haven't got a leg to stand on.

Call me Terry's picture

Hi Guys,

Remember New Labour is about Education, Education Education! If you are going to agree with Nick deliver it correctly.

These 'sons of Brown' have no idea and will fall apart before the next general election.

Like my band, New Labour is trying to reform.

matthew fox's picture

I know you don't vote Luddite, you find the whole process very complicated.

Still spinning the yarn, your working and have family/friends.

With all that abusive language, your not employable, and who in their right mind can handle your meltdowns?

Luddite's picture

Hello 1%... "I know you don't vote Luddite, you find the whole process very complicated". And pointless.. Matthew.... Your a government worker aren't you 1%, and i do use the team 'worker' loosely.. What's the matter son? frightened you may have to start working for a living, welcome to the real world.. By the way.... good morning....

matthew fox's picture

Luddite, you don't seem to be able to remember what your write.

This government is going to take away money from low income families, and you complained about Labour's working poor record.

The phrase ironic, springs to mind, when are you going to practice what you preach Luddite.

CharlieLoveday's picture

@ Awake: You're hilarios. That post was a joke right? Its the most incomprehensible rubbish ive ever had the misfortune of reading.

rebeccabaez's picture

Whats the difference between High Speed Universities and “Brick and Mortar?” Online pays for the education. It does not pay for athletic programs or programs that are not beneficial to all. There is no socio-economic or social cast systems.

Indu Pendent's picture

@matt

Foxy, we all know where you put your paw print on the ballot paper - next to the picture you like most.

Even thought of thinking for yourself sometime you might like it? Ah, you dont think so you dont realise.

The problem you have is that Luddite is on the money.

Gog foxy go, play the stuck record about Legarde and cutting state pensions because you cant figure out what people have told you.

On a different note - UK exports of motor vehicles are at a high since the start of the recession. Its a pitty Labour biggots shut down Dagenham Fiesta as it would now be making a substantial contribution to the economy.

matthew fox's picture

Inbrew, still no article showing Lagarde and the credit rating agencies attacking public sector pensionss.

Keep floundering old bean.

It seems you don't understand the car industry or how to use a calendar.

Exports hit a record high in 2007, Britain didn't go into recession until mid 2008.

Are you like Bozo555 and find the calendar, a mysterious subject?

Britian acutally exported 3 million engines as well, shame you have got the intelligence to research that either.

If i was you Inbrew, I would " Paws for a thought "

Luddite's picture

matthew fox: look here 1%.. The simple truth is, and i know you like it simple!! our wonderful previous Labour government's tax system was a complete shambles. The truth is it was virtually impossible for people claiming tax credits to work out how much they were entitled to, most just ended up with a headache and offend out of pocket. Instead of removing the working poor from tax and national insurance altogether. Labour brought in a tax system so complicated with forms looking more like telephone directories. Millions didn't receive their entitlement and ten's of thousands ended up paying millions back, and the government writing of billions more, just another labour party cock-up

AlastairX's picture

"The £7bn-£8bn spent on higher rate pension tax relief"

We took the hit to private sector pensions in 1998 (raising £7bn a year in today's money) from Brown's removal of corporation tax relief. And we did not strike - we kept on working.

We took the hit from a continual stream of stealth tax rises - NI bump after NI bump. Fuel duty escalating forever. And we did not strike - we kept on working.

We took the hit from seeing VAT rise to 20%. And we did not strike - we kept on working.

We took the hit to wages during the recession, favouring pay cuts rather than higher unemployment. And we did not strike - we kept on working.

So - pray tell me - why is that we are the bad guys? Why are we just a source of revenue to you, the policy makers, forever with a new cause which must be solved? And why do these causes never actually get solved despite all these tax rises?

AlastairX's picture

"The £7bn-£8bn spent on higher rate pension tax relief"

It is hard to express how obnoxious that phrasing it, isn't it? One of the few ways we are permitted to keep our wages - by saving them for the future - and this is "government spending" - and implicitly, it is wasteful spending, at that?

It is shameful, wasteful behaviour of us worker drones, to want to save for retirement. All money is the states, and they will graciously allow us to keep some. Perhaps. So long as we spend it wisely, though.

Fraziel1's picture

Many people working in the private sector and definitely in the public sector has had pay reductions or a pay freeze for the last couple of years. I have personally had a 3% increase in my wages in the last 5 years ( As a civil servant i was getting next to nothing by way of wage rises even during the boom timesand nothing for the last 2). Why should people getting tax credits be any different? It is unpalatable but they also have to pay their share. I appreciate the government should also be doing more to tackle things like tax avoidance by the rich but that's no reason to avoid making those on tax credits pay their bit the same as everyone else.

Luddite's picture

Shut-up and go to bed..

matthew fox's picture

Your such a bad loser Luddite, your imaginery family has deserted you.

Looks like another lonely night in that cage Luddite.

Sweet dreams young prince.

Matt Thompson's picture

"Net immigration 250,000"

That's the figure for net migration, you dimbo. Not the same as immigration.

- talk about avoiding the real point.

Fraziel1's picture

tax relief on pensions for the rich is more than the entire public sector pensions bill. Why is that not being looked at? Oh, thats right because they are all tory voters and donors.

Fraziel1's picture

luddite, if you are not a conservative and you do not hate public sector workers , as well as wanting your taxes spent wisely then you should fully support a decent public sector pension for all public sector workers and you should be supporting their industrial action.

matthew fox's picture

Luddite, your in denial of your own words.

Thatcher, Major and Cameron whacked up VAT and as a consequence hit low and middle income earners.

Now Cameron is going to further erode the incomes of these people by giving less in tax credits.

All this talk about standing up for the " Alarm Clock " is a complete load of tosh, and your gullible enough to swallow it, more fool you.

Luddite's picture

Fraziel1. For many in the private sector the last few year's have being extremely difficult, most have lost their final salary pensions.. most under 52 now expect to work until 66.... many beyond... So what makes the public-sector 'different' a special case... You've said is the past you earn £21.000. think yourself lucky, many skilled engineers.. men that can still cut-metal earn a lot less.. but you are right about tax avoidance. I've always paid tax, and have i paid tax...

Luddite's picture

matthew fox.. Hello.. have you had a hard day at work..
"denial" now what the .... am i denying... your like a bad penny...

Buckskins's picture

Luddite is the only one making any sense in here. I don't know why he bothers. You people never fail. If all else fails call your opponent names followed by childish supposed insults.

I very sincerely hope some of you develop enough character in getting your priorities worked out. Luddite's lessons that he alluded to would be an excellent start.

matthew fox's picture

@Buckskins

Luddite was reprimanded by Prof Blanchflower last week for swearing, the last thing we need to do is follow his example.

matthew fox's picture

Luddite isnt a conservative, he is a National Socialist.

Ian5's picture

If countless corporations and governments had not mismanaged pensions schemes for generations surely this would not be the problem it is today...

As I understand it part of my council tax is used to fund current pension payouts, and contribute to wages and employer expenses ie future pensions... Thats wrong.

Matt Thompson's picture

Net immigration 250,000, youth unemployment at 1 million. Something has got to give. The loonie left cannot have it both ways.

terence patrick hewett1's picture

Someone should tell the two persons featured in the above photograph that they would stand a better chance of employment if they ceased to dress like extras from Pirates of the Caribbean. They of course may be extras from Pirates of the Caribbean.

rob andersen's picture

@ Charlie
do uknow how pemsions work? Do u have any idea of the cuts those with private pensions are having to take- it is multiples, yes multiples of what the public sectoer is being offered.
U don't know how a pension works. Here's a brief and rough explanation so that when u opine it's at least on the basis of some knowledge and not what the team u like have told u.
U save into a pot- because you're saving for retirement, the state most graciously allows u some tax deducted from the earnings because in truth, the state dosen't give a shite about the worker bee (only their vote) , it only allows u the tax deduction so that ure not a hindrance on the state later on in life. When u get to retirement age that pension pot has to be invested into an annuity-this is a financial product that pays a set amount of money based on
1) the size of the pot, and
2) current interest rates and potential stock market returns going forward.
If u were invested as u went along in the market, guess what? you're pot is way smaller than u were counting on.
So each time a solution gets put forward that raids a pension pot, u might first like to consider the effect that this has on those who made plans and got shafted because essentially, as correctly pointed out above, the economy was so mismanaged. It is difficult to imagine a worse job, yet we still have to hear ideas from those who ruined us , not by virtue of their past insight, but by virtue of their title and position. How many serious jobs do u think Balls or Brown would be offered in a privately run enterprise?
Meanwhile, state pensions are paid out of national income- that's tax to u and me. So Balls pension will be fine, rest assured.

Eddy S's picture

i have relatives who live are quite well off and live in a nice area but arrange there tax business affairs efficiently, they also claim full child tax credits and get over 12k a year - that pays for there childrens private education - i'm sorry but the tax credit system is so open to abuse very expensive to administer -

it is far better to offer the 'squeezed middle' tax free income, don't tax them in the first place! let everyone earn 25k tax free and scrap tax credits - the admin savings can also help deliver more for the lower middle income range and provide them with the boost they need.

but this will never happen it is far too sensible!

Awake!'s picture

'The £7bn-£8bn spent on higher rate pension tax relief? Or stopping affluent pensioners receiving winter fuel allowance?'
It's all so fucking predictable.
the answer is to hit thse who want to save more- yeas that's going to get the left re-elected. First it wataes every last penny it can possibly borrow, then it targets richer savers on 'principled ' grounds.
It will be impossible to vote labour soon. Fucking deserves what it has coming. The OBVIOUS gets ignored (the quote above)- not a word on the fact that 2.2 million came to settle here- not a word on the border farce we're learning that we operate after all those 'years' of expensive investment. No. Not a word. just more scorn on the people trying to fix it without money or the proverbial paddle, yet the perpetrators watch from the sidelines booing 'not like this, not like that'
yes, let's fuck some more savers. FUCK them with their pensions that have collpsed in value- fuck them for having saved all their lives to find that in the space of 3 years bonds yield nothing and equities have collpased. Fuck them for having had the temerity to try and make life more comfortable for themselves, they were clearly all over-privileged cigar smoking country estate owners.
Keep the shite coming though, it's all there for people to read and make their judgement.

matthew fox's picture

Luddite your hard work, reading what you write is like trying to eat tomato soup with a fork.

Glad to see you can't rebut the facts, don't forget Mrs T treble the number of low income household.

Gordon Brown cut the number of low income households, that is why the Right hate him.

Luddite's picture

"Luddite isnt a conservative, he is a National Socialist" Careful 1%.. I can afford a lawyer... can you?

Fraziel1's picture

@luddite, i do not think all public sector workers are a special case. A pay freeze for 2 years is hardly being a special case, and i suspect it may be extended to 3, but civil servants most definitely are.

Even during boom times there has been no money for pay progression in the civil service, unlike all other public sector areas, and the average salary across the whole civil service is 19k as opposed to the 28k quoted for the rest of the public sector.Attacking pensions from people with an average salary of 19k is just wrong. Do we not want people to have a rtirement not spent in grinding poverty?

I appreciate that private sector workers have had a hard time recently but as a civil servant i have had a hard time for the last ten years! As is often now quoted, a race to the bottom is not the answer.The real disgrace here is how private sector workers get treated by their employers

matthew fox's picture

What happened to " Making Work Pay"

Good old Clegg, making more rope for his own neck.

mcquade's picture

"Net immigration 250,000"

That's the figure for net migration, you dimbo. Not the same as immigration.

matthew fox's picture

Luddite is a special case, sorry, I meant nut case.

Luddite, like the rest of the conservative movement, hates Public Sector workers, with a passion.

matthew fox's picture

Another drunken threat from Luddite.

When will he learn.

Luddite's picture

1% "Making Work Pay" How's about asking many in the public sector to start working for their pay....

mcquade: Justify mass-immigration at a time of mass-youth unemployment.

Scotty's picture

Typical lefty package of arguments here - to create jobs spend money - to improve services spend money - to stop crime spend money, etc. etc. Never is the proposal to be more efficient put forward as a solution, that requires time, a long term plan and objection from the public sector trade union vested interests.
What we need is what the government is trying to do, improve the skill base of our workforce starting with education. Its time to stop vacuous statements as blair did about education education educatin and then did nothing except pay teachers more.
Change will take time and anyone such as balls and millie who pretend it can be done by throwing more money at the situation are in denial.

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