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What the Greek election tells us about Europe

A political consensus shattered.

A Greek election poster in Athens
A couple walk passed and election poster of the Democratic Alliance party in Athens, 3 May 2012. Credit: Getty Images

Greece is infamous for its earthquakes and the political earthquake caused by yesterday’s elections will have far reaching consequences.

As the final results are coming through it is evident that the political consensus that ruled Greece for the past 35 years has been shattered. The bi-polar political system that enjoyed vast support in electoral contest after electoral contest has been defeated. No party has managed to secure as much as 20 per cent of the vote.

The two political parties that have dominated government and managed the county’s fortunes since the end of the junta in the mid-1970s have been obliterated. The Conservatives struggled to reach 19 per cent and the Socialists have been pushed to third place with some 14 per cent of the vote. As a result a radical Communist party has become the second biggest political force in the country and, put together, all communist parties have won about a third of the vote.

Seven parties in total will enter parliament, delivering a very fragmented political landscape. Worst of all, a fascist party -- regularly linked to racist attacks -- has been handed 21 seats.

The fallout is clear and immediate. The majority of Greeks have voted for parties that reject the terms of the bailout agreed only a few months ago. With it they reject the policy of austerity and the economic stagnation it is causing. As a result the lending arrangements that form part of the bail-ut and keep Greece afloat are put in question, together with the country’s ability to pay its way and remain within the Eurozone and the EU.

The fragmented and inconclusive verdict delivered at the polls yesterday makes it very hard for a government to be formed. The two main parties do not have the votes to create a stable coalition. Meanwhile, the anti-bailout parties range from the far right to the far left , rendering an anti-bailout coalition impossible.

Consequently the country faces 11 days of political haggling between seven very diverse political forces. The possibility of another round of elections cannot be ruled out. All this creates a sense of instability and uncertainty at a time when the country needs leadership.

But the fallout goes beyond the narrow borders of a country in the south-east corner of Europe. Its Eurozone partners and the markets alike are looking closely, fully aware that a possible Greek default will have devastating effects for the European banking sector and a Greek exit from the Eurozone will undermine the process of European integration.

But the repercussions of the Greek vote go further than that. This is a damning verdict for the policy of austerity that has become dogma across the EU. Greeks remain pro-European, the vast majority of the parties entering parliament support the country’s place at the heart of the process of European integration. What they reject is the political and economic orthodoxy that currently governs the EU.

They are not alone. The result of the Greek parliamentary elections should be seen in conjunction with the result of the French presidential election and the British local elections.

In every electoral contest voters opted for politicians and political parties that advocate a different kind of remedy for Europe’s economic malaise. There is a rejection of conservative political and the neo-liberal economic policies that have dominated the political discourse in the past few years and a preference towards growth-producing policies of public investment.

But there is also a rejection of an EU that seems more pre-occupied with bailing out the banking sector than creating jobs for its people. A healthy banking sector is imperative for a the health and wealth of the European economy but the sentiment as expressed by left-wing victories in Greece, France and Britain is that the EU should work for its people first.

Young Greeks and Spaniards locked in long-term unemployment, young Brits unable to afford their own home feel disappointed and disenfranchised, so much so that some of them are turning to extreme, nationalist and xenophobic parties.

But the victories of pro-European parties across Europe over the past few days show that the people of Europe have not abandoned the idea of European unity. They send a message though that they want an alternative political and economic model to govern the fortunes of their continent.

It is now imperative for European leaders to abandon short-sighted and fragmenting economic policies, based on national remedies of competitive austerity, and pursue pan-European solutions that will integrate the European economy further, invest more at the European level, creating economies of scale and providing the EU as a whole with the opportunity to pull its recourses together and invest in research and education, high-end technology, green energy, telecommunications infrastructure and all the elements of the economy of the future that will pull the continent out of the current state of economic stagnation.

The EU and its members are at cross-roads, they have the choice between breaking apart and going back to the pre-war model of nationalism and nation-state conflict or pushing forward together, creating a stronger, more unified EU that can provide collective solutions for the common problems faced by its peoples.

The magnitude of the challenges we face demands unity and common purpose. We have the vehicle to deliver the solutions that will benefit Europe as a whole. It is time we make the most of it.

 

6 comments

rain's picture

So the author of this peculiar article thinks by giving this politically unrepresentative monster [European Union] more power would solve all our economic woes. The cure is not more integration: even more irresponsible borrowing from an already bankrupt banking system, the cure is for the markets to kick-in the door and watch the whole rotten structure will come crashing down, and too start again. A national bank needs creating owned by the people, and to transfer all our bank accounts across to it. No public money should be given to RBS, HBOS, Northern Rock and the other bad banks, who should then be left to sink or swim with their toxic assets and derivatives. The old banking regulations should be reinstated, and laws passed to confiscate directors' and other bonuses already paid by loss making banks.

Tesco Shelf Stacker's picture

"The EU and its members are at cross-roads, they have the choice between breaking apart and going back to the pre-war model of nationalism and nation-state conflict or pushing forward together, creating a stronger, more unified EU that can provide collective solutions for the common problems faced by its peoples."

Why is it inevitable that without EU unification there will be nationalism and confrontation accross europe? Anyway, it seems to me that the EU has created this situation already.

The problem with pushing forward with a unified EU is that the whole EU project is flawed. Sadly, at the heart of the creation of the EU is a massive democratic deficit. The EU is little more than a tailor-made technocracy where its citizens have had little or no say. The cosy little concensus among the EU political elites have at every level prevented any broad public involvement regarding the creation of the EU and this is at the crux of its problems. Unexpected election results like we see in Greece are what happens when the public feel alienated from the political process - strong public scepticism develops towards powerful organisations dominated by unelected officials less interested in their citizens welfare than their own political power - EU citizens they seem to consider too stupid to participate in the political process.

You cannot create a union of european nations where the role of its citizens is strictly limited - without that public involvement in the process what you are left with is a superficial union of nations chained together by a bunch of very weak treaties created without any real democratic legitimacy.

Personally, I have a little more faith in the people of europe than the technocrats running the EU. I think we'll see an avalanche of changes in the way the people of europe are governed, an end to that huge bureaucratic organisation the EU and an end to the faceless elite who run it. The dismantling the political elite consensus is going to spark a series of changes, both here in the UK and across Europe and hopefully, we will end up with something much more democratic and much more accountable to its people - I don't accept that its as simple as either EU unification or european confrontation.

Thats just seems to be scaremongering bollocks. ;-)

david Myles's picture

Well if people do not realise that this is this the period from 1929-1935 again then we are now. Hisrtory may not repaet itself but what is required is a Merkel plan similar to the Marshall plan to bring europe out of depression. It can be said that Greece's geographic situation belies the fact that no man is an Island. Greece may be geogaphiocally isolated from the core of Europe, but the political fallout may not be. This electionthe bankers may say, heralds nothing but the exit of Greece from the Euro and probably the end of a Greater Europe project unless Merkel and the CDU in Germany do noit take the pressure off the Economic throat of southern Europe. The rise of bothe the Friont National in France and the NDP in Germany show that ultra nationalism is still part of the political agenda of the European core.

Toni Michaelson's picture

It reveals that Europeans increasingly don't like (i) living within their means (ii) brown people. Great.

Gordon Johnston's picture

Greek TV channels are reporting that the country's electoral earthquake has been met with "stunned silence" by officials at the International Monetary Fund in Washington. "Our sources at the fund are telling us they had no idea of the extent of the anger and anti-austerity feeling in Greece. They are amazed," said Alpha TV's Washington correspondent. (BBC website)

Where do these IMF officials live - in Long Island with the Great Gatsby?

mbrecker's picture

Another part of this situation? The Stateside debt/GDP ratio is over 100%. Up to the election, neither Obama or Romney will go near this. Instead, it will be the usual "blame the Other Side". Both are delusional when they refuse to admit that the debt will never be repaid. Also, politicians are hypocrites when they tell the public we must cut "entitlements" (the entire social safety net). Meanwhile, they enoy the best benefits money can buy. Why? Because they're rich and powerful (have you ever met a politician who wasn't rich?), and you're not.

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