Nick Clegg: charlatan minor

The Deputy Prime Minister's speech on growth was empty waffle.

I have had emails from several readers asking me for my views on Nick Clegg's speech on growth. It was 2,460 words long and free of content. All in the week when my friend Polly Toynbee in her Guardian column yesterday called David Cameron "the great charlatan". I guess that makes Clegg "charlatan minor".

The speech followed what is becoming a common theme in declarations about the economy from Cameron, Osborne and Clegg.

First, blame Labour for the mess. "They left us well and truly in the red." And then emphasise how large interest payments are and give examples of what alternatives the money could have been spent on. "We could buy a new Chinook helicopter every day," he said -- although why we would want to do that, he didn't make clear. He probably wants one to fly around the country in so he can avoid talking to people who want to question him on his various U-turns.

Second, claim that this is creating a crisis for our children and that morality is on their side. And ludicrously claim that what is going on is "theft", by emphasising only the liabilities side of the balance sheet while ignoring the asset side. From Clegg's speech:

There is a moral dimension to this question too. I have never understood those who say it's more "progressive" to delay tackling the deficit, so that we shuffle off responsibility for our debts to the next generation to deal with. This strikes me as little short of intergenerational theft. It is the equivalent of loading up our credit card with debt and then expecting our kids to pay it off.

Yet he fails to mention that our kids also have to suffer from an intergenerational transfer of assets including roads, hospitals, airports, schools, public health and our entire infrastructure.

Third, say there is no alternative to the the government's fiscal plans and repeat several times how sincere and determined the government is to see this thing through to the end. For example: "The coalition government is determined to eliminate the deficit," and, "We are determined on our course of action to tackle the deficit," plus "As a government, we are determined to get this right". Really?

Fourth, trot out as many mindless platitudes as possible that sound good but don't actually mean anything. Waffle is the watchword.

"We seek nothing less than a new model of sustainable growth."

"We are in government to lay the foundations for a better, stronger economy. People want their politicians to be leaders, not accountants."

"A sound economy is built on diverse, strong regions and diverse, strong sectors".

"We need, in short, a grown-up approach to growth, based on hard-headed analysis -- in place of the "pick-and-mix" approach that has characterised too much recent government activity, grabbing at instant initiatives rather than taking the big decisions that really count."

I have no clue what that means.

Finally, talk in broad terms only and provide no concrete proposals. Clegg even went as far as to say: "I do not think we should apologise for treating this issue with the utmost seriousness." We would prefer you to have a plan -- any plan -- than this empty-headed nonsense.

"We need to be clear about the fundamental factors that drive economy growth; clear about the areas in which government can effectively play a role; and clear about the interventions than make the most difference."

Never fear, by Budget time at the end of March they will have worked all that out! Believe that and you will believe anything.

Clegg claimed there are "four important steps needed to take to build a new economy":

* Weaning ourselves off debt-financed growth, and onto investment-led prosperity;
* Investing in the 'hard' infrastructure that underpins growth, such as transport;
* Cultivating the 'soft' infrastructure made up of knowledge, skills and education that businesses need;
* Balancing regions and sectors, instead of putting all our economic eggs in one basket.

OK, so we need to invest in the infrastructure and people and move to a new model of growth which doesn't exist currently, plus do some stuff for the regions and manufacturing and help chicken farmers. And don't borrow but invest a lot.

And all of this by next Thursday. You must be joking.

28 comments

Hal's picture

No-one has yet convinced me that the current deficit is too large. Government debt/GDP ratio is up 7.1% during 2010 to 59.3% (according to the ONS). Not unreasonable in the recessionary situation we are in. This latter figure is still low by international and historical comparisons.

Moreover during the next year or two government support schemes for banks are ending and there may be a very large shortage of capital. Credit cruch mark 2, in fact. As that plays out the government may start secretly wishing the deficit larger. Emergency budget to cut taxes, maybe?

swatantra's picture

Clegg is an opportunist. And he ory Colitions claim to 'remve the deficit' is a meaningless as 'eliminating 'boom and bust'. Its an impossibility. There will alwys be times of acclerated growth and times of accelerated decline, and countries will always be in hock to financiers.
What is important is that the periods of prosperity should be lengthy, and the periods of hardship short as possible.

matthew fox's picture

Clegg doesn't think VAT is a tax. He tells people we is taking people out of the tax system but fails to mention that the VAT increase hits the working poor the hardest.

frances smith's picture

well mr blanchflower, the world of economics has been discredited by recent economic failures, however although economists have failed us, the last thing on earth we need is a social anthropologist telling everyone that he knows how to do it better, when its so obvious he doesn't.

i'm quite intrigued by this concept of being able to spend the saved interest payments on something else, because it completely ignores the fact that the money borrowed expands the size of the economy, and so the issue, in terms of government debt must be whether the interest payments, on the money borrowed, is more or less than the additional benefits of the larger economy as a result of the loan.

and the flaw in the, we can save all this money in interest payments argument, is that the economy may shrink to such an extent, as a result of this enthusiasm for removing debt, that no money is saved, but instead lost as the economy shrinks.

but the idea that its not just a simple transfer of money, but that the borrowed money serves a purpose in expanding the economy is a hard mathematical concept to get across..............it might be time to address cleggs arguments at a more basic level, rather than to use language that many people don't understand.

Hal's picture

@Divine, JohnRuddy

If you look at real interest rate, the picture is even more benign. The government is currently borrowing over 10 years at just under 4% - about the same as CPI inflation, and less than RPI! This means that currently the cost of the interest in CPI real terms is *zero* (or, using RPI, we are making money on borrowing!!).

The idea that the interest is any problem is ridiculous.

Mr. Divine's picture

I read that the current interest repayment amounts to 11% of GDP. In order to meet that payment the government has either to borrow via bonds which means more interest payments, or just print more money which means inflation and probably higher interest rates. Or they can tax people so much that they haven't got much to spend which results in a reduced demand in the economy and further economic slowdown. Or they could cut the debt and reduce the payments by cutting back on government expenditure.

What do you propose that they do? What exactly is the alternative to the present government action?

Shinsei67's picture

There's a vast difference between borrowing to invest in new transport infrastructure or to build new schools and borrowing to pay salaries and interest payments on debt.

Mr Blanchflower evidently knows this he is just being remarkably disingenuous (as always) in pretending that all borrowing creates an asset on the UK's balance sheet.

Angry Economisst's picture

I work in a soon to be abolished regional development agency, where we prided ourselves on doing a a grown-up approach to growth, based on hard-headed analysis - and major agreement from businesses, councils, communities on the main priorities that would help develop our regional economy.

A lot of our work was spent pragmatically resisting the tendency of Whitehall civil servants at grabbing at ill thought out instant initiatives... and trying to refocus on key things like infrastructure and skills black spots in our region. Businesses thanked us for that.

And so, now the regional development agencies are out of the way with their "bureaucratic" - i.e. sensible, pragmatic and grown up approach to economic development - the meddlers reign with ill thought out initiatives - such as the Regional Growth Fund, Enterprise Zones, Enterprise Allowance Schemes - all that tosh.

Indu Pendent's picture

@Angry Economist

To cover you cost to the tax payer you and the people around you need to have been generating around 3 to 5 times your salary per year in additional net profit in companies. Otherwise it would be better for you to have worked for a private sector company.

You've got some great skills and experience - you should get a job in a big US company and go and see the world.

AddY £'s picture

Blanchflower is perfectly correct. From day 1 of the Coalition their message has been Labour left a mess and we (the Coalition) have to clear the mess. Someone should point out that when you have a recession caused by a property collapse in the USA a mess is created indirectly. Ireland so beloved by Osborne was running a liberal economy , their problems are worse than the UK, how can that be? simple The Banks.

There was is no plan for growth because the Tories have a classical liberal view of economics,and therefore economic activity will come about by necessities.By that time the deficit will have come down but the social divisions which seems to have been ignored will be exacerbated.

groundhog's picture

glegg is a CUR

Tessa's picture

Unfortunately the Coalition was allowed to reinforce the message that 'the mess' is the fault of the last Labour Government because as the new Opposition Labour was sidetracked by the election of a new leader who then took paternity leave which created a political vacuum.

To be effective Labour has to acknowledge that some of its policies were wrong (the focus on neoliberalism - deregulation, increasing inequality etc) and really explain where the new jobs are coming from. The share of national wealth going to wages and salaries is reducing so to maintain standards of living people have borrowed excessively. This is not sustainable but what will take its place? It will take considerable time for a new economic and political narrative to be compiled and it will be insufficient for Labour to present itself at the next election as a neoliberal party with less brutal policies. There is a deep mistrust of politics and not just in places like Egypt.

ang's picture

When Clegg speaks, he reminds me of a junior school teacher, who is addressing his pupils, warning them that if mummy and daddy spend too much money, then it is 'you kids' who will suffer.
This is extremely dishonest and rich, coming from a man, who is propping up an evil tory party who are about to wipe out a whole generation of young people and attack our poorest and most vulnerable people, because there is no alternative! What?
The deficit, which all countries incur, was much less than they thought it would be, but note they have stopped using the line 'It was much worse than they thought'.
Clegg has actually called it 'Labours' recession, but is never asked to explain what he means by this, News presenters are so lame.
I think part of the problem is that Labour didn't defend themselves from the onset (due to the distraction of the leadership elections), so, unbelievably, the media were convinced that there was no alternative and therefore the public were duped, hook, line and sinker!
The Tories don't care about mass unemployment or people suffering, due to local authorities being stripped to the bone, it doesn't affect their sheltered lives.
If the economy continues to dive, they are out!

Les's picture

Clegg is an opportunist of the highest order. I've come to the conclusion that he has no real depth to his own views and his press and public words are those of the Cameron PR machine. He's not convincing because his words are bereft of fact and purpose. The guy is a disaster and a shameful leader of a shamed party.

Reginald Fah-fah's picture

You know how the Country felt sorry for Gordon Brown, I'm starting to fell the same way about Nick Clegg!

He does get a hard time and I think we should give his ideas a chance!

Billy McKeen's picture

Why pretend that all of this political sewage really means anything for working clased(now unemployed) peoples. At the age of 72 I have potentially more expeience of real life than all of you so called intelligenzia put together. Get a life

an ordinary maN IN THE STREET(omit)

Billy McKeen's picture

If I had just posted to a football blog - I'd have had a response in 30 seconds. What's up = has the intelligenzia suddenly run away from an ordinary man in the street
BILLY McKEEN

Billy McKeen's picture

Can anybody tell me where all the intelligenzia go when not trying to sound awfully important in computer postings

billymckeen

Billy McKeen's picture

red alert - red alert
there's an ordinary man in the street about
whatever you do - don't get in touch
you never know - he might know too much

Billy McKeen's picture

IT MUST BE TRUE - THE INTELLIGENZIA BELIRF YOU CAN GET CONTAMINATING DISEASE FROM COMMUNICATION WITH WORKING CLASSED SENIOR CITIZENS.

Billy McKeen's picture

I'M SORRY FOR YOU MR BLANCHFLOWER - ITS OBVIOUS THAT ALL OF YOUR ABOVE POSTERS ARE CLASSISTS. SHAMEFUL

JohnRuddy's picture

Mr. Devine,
I'm not sure where you read that our interest payments are 11% of GDP - as you can see from here: http://www.ukpublicspending.co.uk/downchart_ukgs.php?year=1692_2011&stat...
Interest payments are currently at 2.8% of GDP - and that figure is lower than it was in every year from 1979 through to 1992. Mrs Thatcher didnt seem to think it was a problem, so why should we? Unless it is being used as a smokescreen for ideological cuts?

blueboy's picture

@Billy McKeen. Speaking as a working class person I'm inclined to ask have you been in the ale house all day ?

Mr. Divine's picture

@JohnRuddy: yes you're right its not 11% as I wrote. I read it in a BBC article. Maybe these cuts aren't necessary after all.

Lou's picture

@Billy McKeen

This political sewage as you describe it does mean a lot for working class people. Jobs, pay, mortgages, taxes, VAT, NI, schools, education, universities, hospitals, healthcare, social care, tax credits, housing, benefits, policing, communities, countryside ...need I go on? Are you feeling better now someone has answered you?

Madison's picture

I think part of the problem is that Labour didn't defend themselves from the onset (due to the distraction of the leadership elections), so, unbelievably, the media were convinced that there was no alternative and therefore the public were duped, hook, line and sinker!
http://www.homeimprovement101.net/

Mr. Divine's picture

@Hal: Yes the impression you get is that the debt and the repayments are 'too large', and therefore government cuts are necessary. A detailed analysis of government finances is needed to make an accurate assessment.

jie4v7i14's picture

Charlatan minor is putting it polite. He has exasperated even me in his "how shallow can you get" in his lies and conning.

He won't get a job in the UN in the future in his performance in the last eight months - no one would trust him, due to his self-serving conning, the disgrace.

Tell us again Cleggy, the last Labour government caused the world economic crisis of 2008? Knob!

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