Leading economic advisers warn of the dangers of a rise in interest rates.
The Bank of England should avoid raising interest rates in order to avoid endangering the economic recovery, an influential economics forecaster has said.
The Ernst & Young Item Club has urged the bank to stay firm against temporary pressures such as the VAT rise.
Accoutnancy and consulting firm Deloitte has warned of a "bumpy road to recovery", saying it expects GDP growth this year and next of just 1.5%.
However, the Item Club forecasts UK GDP growth of 2.3% this year, rising to 2.8% in 2012.
The Bank has been told to control inflation, which has exceeded the target set out by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) of 2% and now stands at 3.3%.
The inflation rate as measured by the Retail Prices Index (RPI) is currently 4.7%.