Leader: What next for Libya?
By Staff blogger Published 25 August 2011One cannot fail to be moved by the euphoric scenes on the streets of Tripoli, as crowds celebrate the collapse of Muammar al-Gaddafi's regime. The 42-year reign of one of the Middle East's most brutal and capricious dictators is all but over.
Yet now is not the moment for leaders in the west to declare "mission accomplished". Vital questions remain unanswered. What role will the west play in deciding the country's next government? Will we be sending in ground troops to serve as peacekeepers? How much do we know about the rebels - a hotchpotch of defectors, democrats, nationalists and Islamists - who wish to replace the colonel? Gaddafi may have lost but, at present, it is far from clear who has won.
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2 comments
You describe Gaddafy as "one of the Middle East's most brutal and capricious dictators"
Anyone that knows well the history of Lybia and the Middle East would tell you that he was the LEAST brutal dictator of the Middle East.
I've travelled extensively in the Middle East. I found Libya in a number of ways more 'free' than, for example, Saudi Arabia, or Kuwait, or Bahrain, or Jordan. True, that's not saying much, but to paint Gadaffi as an exceptionally and unusually, super-bad dictator, compared to these other regimes, is exaggeated and a distortion of the facts.
What made Gadaffi appear, at least in western eys, worse, was his anti-western rhetoric and his disdain for the other, western-backed tyrants in the region. It was ultimately this stance that led to his downfall, as the regional tyrants and the west seized a golden opportunity to topple him and gain control of Libya's oil and gas reserves once more, returning Libya to the pre-Gadaffi era, when Libya, though nominally independent, was really a western colony in all but name.
And this is what the people of Libya have to look forward to, not democracy, but something closer to the model of enlightened and stabil tyranny we prefer in our client states.
But will the ordinary Libyans accept their forced return into the western sphere of influence just like that, after so many years of independence? That will be an interesting question.