Tory lead cut to six points in new poll

Latest YouGov poll suggests hung parliament remains likely.

The Conservatives' lead over Labour has been cut to six points, according to a new opinion poll which suggests that a hung parliament remains likely after the next election.

The latest daily YouGov survey for the Sun had the Tories unchanged on 38 per cent, with Labour up one to 32 per cent and the Liberal Democrats unchanged on 19 per cent. If repeated at a general election on a uniform swing, the latest figures would leave David Cameron 39 seats short of an overall majority in a hung parliament.

But there was better news for the Tories in two other opinion polls. The latest PoliticalBetting/Angus Reid put the Conservatives on 37 per cent, nine points ahead of Labour. The Liberal Democrats are on 22 per cent.

Meanwhile, a new Harris survey for the freesheet the Metro put the the Tories up two points to 37 per cent, with Labour down one to 27 per cent and the Liberal Democrats up two to 19 per cent. If repeated at a general election, the latest figures would leave Cameron 8 seats short of a majority.

But since the Tories are expected to perform disproportionately well in the marginals, it is likely that a lead of around seven points would give Cameron a small majority.