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Lib Dems overtake Labour in new poll

Support for Lib Dems surges eight points to 30 per cent, just three points behind the Tories.

New Statesman - Polls Guide_1271454329782

Latest poll (YouGov/Sun) Labour 51 seats short of a majority.

The latest YouGov daily tracker poll has just been released and it shows a dramatic surge in support for the Lib Dems following last night's debate.

The poll puts the Lib Dems up eight points to 30 per cent, with Labour in third place on 28 per cent and the Tories on 33 per cent, their lowest level of support since Brown's honeymoon in September 2007.

Yesterday's YouGov poll put the Tories on 37 per cent and Labour on 31 per cent, so the increase in Lib Dem support has come at the expense of both parties.

The results should be treated with caution but this is clearly a sensational poll for the Lib Dems and a new layer of unpredictability has been added to the election. If the Lib Dems start to be seen as a potential party of government they could make a real electoral breakthrough.

New Statesman Poll of Polls

New Statesman - Polls Guide_1271454581671

Hung parliament, Conservatives 38 seats short.

But if repeated on a uniform swing, these figures would actually leave Labour as the largest single party in a hung parliament. The vagaries of the first-past-the-post system, mean that Gordon Brown would be 51 seats short of an overall majority.

According to UK Polling Report's swing calculator, Labour would win 275 seats, the Tories 245 and the Lib Dems just 99.

 

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16 comments

red_nick's picture

Want some fun? Go stick them into a uniform national swing. Labour come out on top, 50 seats short of a
majority...

Bill Kristol-Balls's picture

Here's a comforting thought, taking the margin of error into account, Clegg & Co. could be leading :)

Rupert Taylor's picture

A Lib. Dem. majority would be brilliant, and would be a real treat for the start of summer.

johnoneill13's picture

I am struggling for the first time since I began voting in 1983! The impact of Devolution here in Scotland has, for the first time for me, had a huge impact in that what I watched last night in the Leader's Debates and I am now following in the polls, eg. YouGov, is very much England's question, and we in Scotland need to now cross our fingers. I go into a General Election for the first time, still 'tribally' committed to my party of preference, yet knowing that I will be praising Devolution and praying for its greater extension in the future, at the very least. Given the standing of SNP,Labour & Scots Lib Dem we here in Scotland have a very clear left of centre/ progressive consolidation and majority. Hope Lib Dems hold West and South West England and trouble the Tories. That will be to Scotland's and to UK's benefit in my view. If Cameron wins, my dilemma is solved, Independence it has to be - we just can't take the punishment again !!

Mike Kelly's picture

Mr Jones wrote;"if only they new Nick Clegg is going to allow a amnesty for all the iligal immigrants, which in laymens terms means billions in benefits and more strain on resouces. God bless the Queen god save america."

Good grief. Do you mean "if only they _k_new"? And can you really not spell "illegal" or "resources"? I bet those immigrants speak better English than you do. Sad views, and sadder state of literacy, Mr Jones.

Daniele1's picture

Mike Kelly:
I was just about to write the sama observation about Mr Jones's comment.
It is supremely ironic that all the English supremacists on this site CANNOT write in English.
Could it be they are proud of being English because they have nothing else to be proud about?
Could it be that this hate of the foreigner comes from a deep complex of inferiority? Just a thought.

George's picture

The Conservatives don't win many seats in Scotland but they do have significant support and I think will pick up half a dozen.

I can't see the opinion polls changing any time soon with regard to seperatism; the banking crisis and global recession have changed the dynamics now.

Mr Jones's picture

Only when the you left wing british hating people canot win a debate you attack people with a learning dissabilty, gosh quality people that you are, pat your self on the back who seem to belive spelling indicates inteligence, you could not even contexualise the amount of qualifications and abilty that I have, you oxymorons.

Daniele1's picture

Mr.Jones
Just curious as to what you are calling me.What is an oxymoron? It is not in the dictionary.
Obviously you must be very intelligent to know words which are not in the dictionary.

Steve Pocock's picture

End of the cosy club ?. Politics in the UK is a joke but not funny. The ultimate protest vote is to reject the 'big' two. We dont need party politics to resolve our problems. We need genuine consensus. That vision might just interest the so called apathetic masses.

Mr Jones's picture

God help us, the brain set of the voters , who vote on a TV show, yep if only they new Nick Clegg is going to allow a amnesty for all the iligal immigrants, which in laymens terms means billions in benefits and more strain on resouces. God bless the Queen god save america.

Bill Kristol-Balls's picture

What songs did Gary Barlow play when he was with Cameron today?

'How Did It Come To This' perhaps?

'Pray'?

AK's picture

Please give the hung parliament thing a rest...

CLEGG and CABLE are now only a few % points from forming the government on their own .. without Mssr Borwn or Cameon

and many voters will suddenly realise that !

AK's picture

Please give the hung parliament thing a rest...

CLEGG and CABLE are now only a few % points from forming the government on their own .. without Mssr Borwn or Cameron

and many voters will suddenly realise that !

Thomas's picture

Mr Jones

Surely with the amount of qualifications and ability that you have you should find it easy to find employment and don't need to worry about the influx of highly skilled and competitive foreigners?

Just a thought :)

and yes I am being sarcastic

jamie's picture

so he spelled a few words wrong big deal look at you load of dogs, id ratehr go back in time knock your heads off and show you who is superior, cause your books dont make you better and your middle class lives and your wifes who want somone else.

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