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If Labour fails to act on its beliefs now, then when will it?

Published 08 May 2008

Brown will not win the hearts of the people until he combines his competence with a clear moral vision

It is a regrettable truth about electorates that they usually see apologies as a sign of weakness and proof positive that the penitents have done something wrong. So there has been quite enough apologising and explaining and "feeling our pain" and "listening and learning" over the past week, following the local elections. What voters want from Gordon Brown now is resolution and action.

Learning to empathise will not appease a right-wing press that scents blood; nor will it mollify opponents within the party, but rather encourage them in their talk of leadership challenges; and it won't keep the electorate onside until the next general election.

As our political editor makes clear on page 12, the party has suffered a drubbing from which it will be hard to recover. But the Prime Minister leads a party with a solid majority, which he can and should use to govern with conviction. Labour has two more years in power, during which time the best way it can signal to voters that it has been listening is to respond to their concerns. These are seldom as vocalised by the Tory press.

Two years, with a global recession, an almost certain fall in property values and imported inflationary pressures from world food and energy prices, could turn out to be a very long time indeed in politics. Brown, better equipped intellectually than almost any other prominent politician to govern during such an economically unstable time, should use these two years to entrench and Tory-proof a Labour legacy. At the end of that period, core voter fatigue could deprive Brown of a second term of office (that becomes an absolute certainty if he spends the coming months afraid to do anything). But Labour stands some chance of overcoming electoral weariness if it acts decisively on policies that reflect Labour values and that the party can defend with conviction. Of the things Labour stands for but has not yet achieved, it should ask: "If not now, when?" Too many children's lives are still, after 11 years of Labour, blighted by deprivation. For all Brown's commitment to eliminating child poverty, it is not vanquished. It could be. Voters do not vote for their own interests only. Determination to give every child a chance would be seen as bold and the right thing to do.

At the same time, Brown must deal with the 10p tax-band error once and for all by raising tax allowances. Compensation through handouts is not good enough. No Budget should disadvantage the lower-paid. Why continue to give grounds for rebellion? Labour should instead make the case for the rich paying their share.

Brown must also abandon his plan to extend detention without charge for terror suspects to 42 days. There would be no surer way to provoke a back-bench revolt.

The Work and Pensions Secretary, James Purnell, writing on page 10, makes a strong case for Labour pressing forward with such a socially progressive agenda. The Tories have failed to defeat Labour from the right, he argues, which is why they try to steal the centre ground and mimic Labour pledges on social justice. They have been forced into this mouthing of progressive rhetoric by a shift in the centre of political gravity. Labour can take the credit for that but it has to continue to be innovative on such issues.

The same can be said for constitutional reform, once central to Labour's self-image. Does Labour still want to be the party to take Britain into a more egalitarian future? If so, it has to proceed with reform of the Lords and devising a fairer voting system. That would test David Cameron's progressive credentials.

And why would a Labour government want its legacy to include ripping up a social service of vital importance to the poor and elderly, as closing post offices around the country will do? As John Pilger argues on page 24, the savings are tiny, the damage done to communities immense.

Brown the technocrat will ensure Britain survives the coming economic turbulence. But he will not win the hearts of the people unless he combines his competence with a moral vision. "The Labour Party is a moral crusade or it is nothing," Harold Wilson once said. Brown has to feel that. Electoral success might just follow.

Burma's isolation is no solution

Days after the New Statesman reported on the plight of ethnic-minority rebels fighting a desperate war of resistance on Burma's eastern border, a fresh catastrophe was visited on that benighted country. Estimates for the ultimate death toll from Cyclone Nargis, which crashed in from the Bay of Bengal on 2 May, are continually being revised upwards. One commentator has suggested as many as 250,000 could die as a result of drowning, homelessness and disease.

The situation is so serious that the military junta has said it will welcome foreign aid (which it refused after the Boxing Day tsunami of 2004). But there is concern about the speed with which the notoriously secretive and repressive regime is issuing visas. Offers of assistance from the US have already been refused.

The Irrawaddy Delta, the country's rice production centre, was one of the worst-hit areas, news that could not be worse for local populations in the region who are already threatened by drastic price rises for rice, the staple food, especially for those on low incomes - which means the overwhelming majority in this cruelly impoverished state.

The generals insist the "referendum" on a new constitution will still take place. But the people's only real hope is that a tentative opening up to foreign relief agencies may encourage the first shoots of pluralism in Burma. The junta must realise that continued isolation, both internal and external, is no solution at all.

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1 comment from readers

johannine
08 May 2008 at 11:33

Indeed if not now when?

govt is seeing itself as a can do for big buisness fraud,

As most clearly revealed by medicine ,or more specificlly what it is doing for those curing themselves from cancer [using hemp] noting hemp has a NNP of two to one.

But what is an NNp?

Medicine's Dirty Little Secret

There's one medical statistic doctors don't much talk about despite its importance. It's called number needed to treat, or NNT.

It’s a measure developed in the past 20 years, and it’s one of the best-kept statistical secrets in medicine.

The idea of NNT is simple enough. Most clinical trials look at how much better people do on a particular medicine. NNT answers the question:

How many people have to take a particular drug to avoid one incidence of a medical issue (such as a heart attack, or recurrence of cancer)?

For example, if a drug had an NNT of 50 for heart attacks, then 50 people have to take the drug in order to prevent one heart attack.

That doesn’t sound like a lot, so pharmaceutical companies tend to keep the number quiet and focus on broader, U.S. population-based statistics.

But that could be changed if you ask for the NNT up front the next time you're handed a prescription.

Sources:

Time February 15, 2007

Dare to Check Your Ingredient Label as well as your NNT

noting mercury is in most vacines

Dr. Mercola's Comments:

When the NNT statistic was first developed in 1988, it was intended to help you make a decision about whether or not to take a drug.

After all, having it put in simple terms such as “Out of every 50 people who take this drug, perhaps one heart attack will be prevented, and the other 49 people will receive no benefit,”

puts things into perspective ?

… a perspective that the drug companies do not want you to see.

One of the most blatant examples of how drug companies have hidden NNT for their own self-serving purposes lies with cholesterol drugs.

These drugs, which can cause side effects like liver damage, muscle weakness, cognitive impairment and many, many others, are touted as miracle pills that can slash your risk of a heart attack by more than one-third.

BusinessWeek actually did a story on this very topic earlier this year, and they found the REAL numbers right on Pfizer’s own newspaper ad for the cholesterol-lowering drug Lipitor.

Upon first glance, the ad boasts that Lipitor reduces heart attacks by 36 percent.

But there is an asterisk.

And when you follow the asterisk, you find the following in much smaller type:

"That means in a large clinical study, 3% of patients taking a sugar pill or placebo had a heart attack compared to 2% of patients taking Lipitor."

What this means is that for every 100 people who took the drug over 3.3 years, three people on placebos, and two people on Lipitor, had heart attacks.

That means that taking Lipitor resulted in just one fewer heart attack per 100 people.

The NNT, in this case, is 100. 100 people have to take Lipitor for more than three years to prevent one heart attack. And the other 99 people, well, they’ve just dished out hundreds of dollars and increased their risk of a laundry list of side effects for nothing.

Not to mention that this study was funded by the industry, which means their results may already be skewed, and the actual benefit may be even LESS than what they found.

"Anything over an NNT of 50 is worse than a lottery ticket; there may be no winners."

Well, the NNT for some cholesterol-lowering drugs has been figured at 250 and up, even after taking them for five years!

"What if you put 250 people in a room and told them they would each pay $1,000 a year for a drug they would have to take every day, that many would get diarrhea and muscle pain, and that 249 would have no benefit?

And that they could do just as well by exercising? How many would take that?"

The answer, of course, is few to none. And that is exactly why you have probably never heard of NNT before.

Don’t Trust the Drug Companies nor leaders giving them coorperate welfare paid with tax payers [your] money

They have many tricks up their sleeves other than NNT, and they are masters at twisting the results of their studies to appear in a positive light or as with hemp in the wrong light.

So anytime you hear about how great a drug is, be very suspicious ,don’t blindly accept the numbers that the drug companies peddle either.

One thing you can do is ask your doctor or pharmacist to tell you the NNT for any prescription you’re considering.

KNOW that most drugs offer little benefit, and only take them as an absolute last option.

You have the power to take control of your health and thrive without the need for drugs. The drug companies want you to believe otherwise, but now you too know better.

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